Archive for September, 2008

Absolutely amazing

Tuesday, September 30th, 2008

I wonder if she asked her if she ever read a book:

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The leader

Tuesday, September 30th, 2008

Great video of McCain and his surrogates taking credit for passing a bill that later failed. When will they turn on a dime and announce that McCain was not involved at all and Obama injected himself into the process and screwed it up. Actually, they started on the latter part right away.

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Dubious Achievement Award

Monday, September 29th, 2008

Bush is going to sweep the table. There will be not a single facet of American life that has improved in the time he has been president. The stock market closed today down for Bush’s term.

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Joe Courtney votes against the bailout

Monday, September 29th, 2008

Anyone on Joe’s email list, which probably includes most of my readers, knows by now that Joe Courtney voted against the bailout, since he sent an email to announce his vote. You can verify it here, and yes, if you follow the link, the bailout legislation was attached to a bill:

To Amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to Provide Earnings Assistance and Tax Relief to Members of the Uniformed Services, Volunteer Firefighters, and Peace Corps Volunteers, and for Other Purposes

In my humble opinion it was the right thing to do. It hurts to say it, in a way, because the majority of Republicans voted against it. As to them, they did the right thing for the wrong reasons, but that’s what strange bedfellows are all about.

I suspect that Joe got the all clear from the leadership on this. It looks like there was a deal for blame sharing, with each side to deliver enough votes to make it a bi-partisan bill, while still allowing for anyone perceived as vulnerable to vote against it. The Democrats delivered, the Republicans did not, leaving John McCain, who took credit this morning for passing a bill that later failed, looking like an idiot again. His people are spinning madly to blame Obama for the failure of House Republicans to vote for the bill, but even the media isn’t falling for it.

Update: I should have excerpted Joe’s reasons for voting against the bailout. Also, it looks like I may have gotten the email because I emailed to his office to oppose the bailout, so maybe you won’t get something if you’re on his regular campaign list. Anyway: the excerpt:

Despite the best efforts of Congressional Leaders to improve the unprecedented request from the Bush Administration for a $700 billion blank check for Wall Street, I believe the Financial Rescue Package fell short of effectively addressing America’s financial crisis. I voted against the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008.

I stand ready at any time to work with my colleagues to forge a better, more effective, and more responsible legislative proposal that can gain the majority support of Congress. We can and we will move beyond the current impasse to seek a solution that makes sense for the future of our nation.

The stubborn refusal of Bush Administration to include a meaningful solution to the home-mortgage foreclosure crisis in the final version of the bill means that the underlying cause of this financial disaster will continue unabated. I could not in good conscience vote to borrow $700 billion in taxpayer money for a plan that did not stem the downward spiral in the real estate market, nor invest in economic stimulus that would help struggling middle class families.

Lastly, the final round of negotiations undermined Congressional efforts to limit CEO compensation and to pay for this measure responsibly.

My vote does not reflect any feelings of complacency about the state of our economy; far from it. The threat to our economy and our banking and credit systems is real and it is serious. We are now facing the repercussions of yet another disaster, inflicted by the stubborn opposition to meaningful oversight by many leaders, including President Bush and those who controlled Congress in the nineties. I look forward to joining my colleagues in establishing new and carefully considered regulation. That needs to be done, and will be a priority of Congress no matter the final outcome of the current credit crisis.

I appreciate the valiant efforts of Congressional leaders, who demanded and won significant improvements in the original package. Unfortunately their efforts fell short in producing a measure that I — and the taxpayers of eastern Connecticut — could support. We now look to our next steps to further improve on this proposal.

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Shorter Maureen Dowd

Monday, September 29th, 2008

Barack Obama lost the debate because he didn’t spew snark like I would have done.

Except, Maureen, he won.

The debate

Saturday, September 27th, 2008

Apparently, the conventional wisdom is coalescing around the idea that Obama was the winner last night, though maybe it’s just the blogs I read. Immediately after it appeared to me that the media was working overtime to make it a McCain win. I always hearken back to the Bensten-Quayle debate at times like that. The media immediately called it for the empty head from Indiana, but the public saw it differently. In the course of a few days the media’s initial take went down the memory hole, and everyone agreed Quayle looked like a fool.

I thought Obama won flat out, but then I tend to judge these things on who is telling the truth, who makes the most sense, etc., all of which, as the media will tell you, are in fact totally irrelevant, unless it’s Al Gore forgetting with FEMA official accompanied him to Texas.

I have to admit that there were times during the debate that I became frustrated at Obama’s reluctance to clobber McCain. For instance, McCain railed against an earmark from Montana that went to studying the DNA of some creature, an earmark remarkably similar to one sought by his vice presidential candidate. It seemed like a softball to Obama right in the strike zone, but he took the pitch. There were a couple of other times when McCain left similar openings. Upon reflection, however, I think Obama knows what he’s doing. He came across as statesmanlike and measured. In any event, it probably makes sense for him to be himself, and he just doesn’t appear to be the kind of guy who really likes to go for the jugular.

I found it interesting that women seemed more attuned to McCain’s condescending attitude toward Obama, and were more turned off by it. Let us hope that Biden is made aware of that and that he makes an effort to be respectful toward Palin. Better to let her destroy herself.

Finally, I thought it was great that Obama got in the dig about Spain, after having to deal with McCain’s continuous mischaracterizations about his willingness to negotiate with Iran. McCain painted himself into a corner on that one. He never meant to say he wouldn’t talk to Spain, but since Republicans cannot admit error, he has adopted it as official policy.

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Brilliant

Saturday, September 27th, 2008

Who could have known?

From this morning’s Times:

“The last six months have made it abundantly clear that voluntary regulation does not work,” [SEC Chairman Cox} said in a statement. The program “was fundamentally flawed from the beginning, because investment banks could opt in or out of supervision voluntarily. The fact that investment bank holding companies could withdraw from this voluntary supervision at their discretion diminished the perceived mandate” of the program, and “weakened its effectiveness,” he added.

Just another one of those things that no one could have known. The Bush Administration has been afflicted with these kinds of situations. Who could have known occupying a country in the Middle East could cause problems? Who could have known that Osama bin Laden was determined to strike in the U.S.? Who could have known that hurricanes cause major damage? Who could have known that putting the foxes in charge of the hen coop could result in a lot of dead hens?

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Yet more bailout musings

Saturday, September 27th, 2008

A friend passed along this article from Counterpunch, which I am in turn passing along, because it is always good to know that there’s at least one other person out there, with more paper credentials, that agrees with something you’ve said. In this case, it is my recent post arguing that if we are going to borrow $700 million dollars, there are far better things to spend it on, even in the midst of this crisis, than a Wall Street bailout.

In this case the writer is Moshe Adler, the director of Public Interest Economics, who, like me, argues that the money would be better spent investing in our crumbling society:

What Keynes also pointed out during the Great Depression is that the government can increase employment by hiring workers itself. To press his argument Keynes suggested that the government could always hire half the unemployed to dig ditches and the other half to fill them up. But thanks to long years of neglect by the government, there are many government services that Main Street actually desperately needs: More teachers and better school lunches; more public transportation; more public universities with better facilities; more nurses and doctors and more medicinal drugs; more nursing homes for elderly people and more parks for the young; more housing for workers and more childcare for their children. And, Keynes explained, once the government starts using its power to stabilize employment and to increase its citizens? standard of living, there is no doubt that the economic horizon will clear and private lending and investment will rebound as well.

Normally, this would be the point at which the reader would ask: “But how do we pay for this all?” But not today. First, the government can use the money that the President and Congress want to give Wall Street. In addition, it is now clear that executive compensation is not a just reward. It can and should be taxed, heavily, and perhaps even retroactively.

The problem we have is that the terms of debate in this country are circumscribed. It is simply not allowed to argue that we should not have a bailout at all. The House Republicans are not taken seriously in their protestations; everyone knows they will vote for a bailout eventually, so long as it does not interfere with the ability of Wall Street to do this to us again. Were any politician to argue for what was, after all, the approach that ultimately ended the Depression, they would be dismissed as not serious persons, somewhat like Dennis Kucinich, who is almost always right, and always ignored.

Along with that article my friend (who contributed a comment here) steered me to another Counterpunch article that persuasively argues that the bailout won’t work. I was intrigued by this excerpt, dealing with the nature of the financial instruments that have caused this crisis:

The derivates—futures and forwards, caps and collars, options and swaps—were all derived from the performance of some ever more distant asset. Financiers invested and speculated in these instruments both in order to skim off the value of the assets and to protect themselves from risk. All of this trading was highly leveraged, which is to say that collateral in actual assets was far, far less than the supposed value of the derivates. A series of failures related to these derivative markets signaled a warning: the bankruptcy of Orange County in 1998 and of Long-Term Capital Management in 2000, the collapse of Amaranth Advisors in 2006, and the $7.2 billion dollar loss by Société Général in early 2008. Now the entire complex and fragile system of derivatives threatens to disintegrate.

If I understand it, basically we have billions and billions of dollars of financial instruments backed by assets worth far less than the instruments themselves. One suspects that even if the lending at the base, the subprimes, etc., had not been so reckless, the day of reckoning would have inevitably come to pass. It all seems very much like a sophisticated Ponzi scheme

In sum, I think the Democrats blew it. They should have just said “No”. Of course, the fact is that our Democratic representatives are only slightly less beholden to Wall Street than are the Republicans. They can’t imagine not attempting to preserve the rotten system we have. If the folks I’ve quoted are right, they won’t succeed in even doing that, and in the process they may cause vastly more harm to the rest of us.

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Post debate

Saturday, September 27th, 2008

I can’t improve on what Digby has to say about the debate:

It’s very hard for me to gauge this debate because to me John McCain is quite obviously a crazy, intemperate, nasty old bastard. He was sarcastic, contemptuous and patronizing. I really, really loathe him. But then, I loathe Rush Limbaugh and Glen Beck too, who are also domineering, macho pricks. (On the other hand Barack said “I agree with John” about 832 times, so perhaps I’m misjudging him.)

My wife says Obama is winning in the early polls, so maybe people aren’t as stupid as the pundits.

All I can add is this picture of the audience at Groton Democratic Headquarters, where 100% thought Obama won.

Next comes the comic relief, otherwise known as the Vice Presidential Debates, unless Palin becomes ill or her campaign plane mysteriously blows up in mid air. We’ll be adjourning to the Bulkeley House for that one, as it coincides with Drinking Liberally night. The whole country might want to drink liberally at the thought of Sarah Palin being president of the United States. Anyway, we will still start at 6:30, then adjourn to the bar to watch the debate.

The picture, by the way, was taken by my nifty new camera (no flash, 200 ISO, Image stabilized), of which I should be ashamed of myself for buying, but I am not, at least very much. If only our minds could evolve as fast as our technology. This camera, a Panasonic DMC-LX3, takes better pictures, within its limits, than my digital SLR, that I bought four years ago. Unfortunately, it’s so new that Apple hasn’t yet updated its operating system to read the camera’s RAW files, so instead of using Aperture I’m stuck for now with the clunky software that came with the camera. All things come to those who wait (except maybe a Democratic President) so that situation should resolve itself soon.

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Brutal

Friday, September 26th, 2008

McClatchy is the successor to the Knight Ridder papers, which was the only major news organization with an ounce of skepticism toward the Iraq War when it was being marketed. In fact, its skepticism could be measured in pounds, while the major papers were enabling the propaganda effort. Given that background, I’m not terribly surprised that they are not in the tank for McCain, but I must say this article, while 100% accurate, is just brutal, all but calling McCain a political con-man. Check out the second paragraph of this quote:

McCain’s announcement Wednesday that he wouldn’t debate until the bailout talks produced a deal was met with immediate accusations that he was trying to duck the debate to avoid questions about his recent comment that the U.S. economy was fundamentally sound, or about the global economic crisis occurring during a Republican administration.

Moreover, McCain has never been a leader in the Senate on financial policy, is not a member of the Senate Banking Committee that’s negotiating the bailout terms and had not been involved in those negotiations until Thursday, when they blew up. At McCain’s request, President Bush called McCain and Obama to the White House on Thursday to talk about the financial crisis along with congressional leaders.

This is no surprise coming from McClatchy, but journalism is breaking out all over. I haven’t watched the whole thing yet, but from the snippets I’ve seen, it looks like Katie Couric did an admirable job torpedoing Sarah Palin.

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