Via Talking Points, here’s a fun site at Slate, where you can tinker with the delegate math and play out different scenarios depending on how things go in the upcoming primaries. The conclusion is inescapable: Hillary can win only if she steals it, or a miracle happens.
I assumed, for example, that she gets 65% of the vote in each of the remaining primaries. Assuming that Michigan and Florida remain out of play, she ends up with 12 more delegates than Obama. The problem is, she is unlikely to get 65% of the vote in any of the remaining primaries, and there are some where Obama is likely to get a vote of that magnitude.
If you are a Clinton fan, you should visit this site. The hard numbers will quickly disabuse you of any notion that Hillary can win this thing without playing dirty. (There is, by the way, little sign that there are a lot of top Democrats out there that would be interested in helping her play). Just more proof that it’s time for her to withdraw while she can still do so with grace, and before she succeeds in making McCain the odds on favorite in November.