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Reporting the needle, ignoring the haystack

First, let me start by saying that I have a great deal of respect for Ted Mann of the Day, who normally does very good work. So it is with some reluctance that I (if only figuratively) take up my pen to express my dismay at the article Ted wrote on the Unity rally (Unity? Some see it as hogwash ) in this morning’s Day. Upon a re-reading, it can be read as coverage of the coverage (and I realize Ted is not responsible for the article’s title), more than the rally, but that’s, unfortunately, too much of a stretch. The story is an example of the worst tendencies of the American press.

According to my sources (see below) 2,500 people were expected, the Obama people estimated 4,000 showed up, and a local NH newspaper estimated that 6,000 people were there. Let’s be conservative and put the figure at 3,000. Now, let’s go to the coverage:

The thousands of people here Friday – volunteers, loyal voters, operatives and acolytes – rode shuttle buses, braved metal-detector queues and staggered under steaming heat just to see Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton standing at a podium, together.

But chances are the voices of a few hardy dissenters will resound a little more prominently in the wall-to-wall coverage of the campaign stop than they did in the grassy field behind this tiny hamlet’s elementary school.

And why is it that a few hardy dissenters are going to be featured so prominently? Here’s why:

With polls showing some supporters of Clinton willing to break party ranks rather than vote for her vanquisher, there would be a search afoot for notes of dissension in the ranks. And the dissenters would try to deliver. (Emphasis added)

That’s right. They would be featured prominently because the press wanted to give them prominence, the facts be damned. Luckily for the lazy press they didn’t have to go look for the facts to fit their favored story line, it came to them:

But eventually Stone-Oks acquired an audience, for herself and for an ally, Sharon Chang, largely because they seemed to realize that Chang was what the vast array of media was looking for: A quotable detractor of the nominee who would say she’d rather vote for Republican John McCain than anyone other than Clinton. (That threat meant less coming from Stone-Oks, who conceded that she was a Republican anyway.) (Emphasis added)

So, let’s step back. The story was not the thousands of people who turned out in the broiling sun, it was the few people (Both the Courant and the Times mention the same people as did Mann. The Courant pushes the same meme as the Day; the Times makes the dissenters more of a footnote) who showed up to represent themselves as former Hillary supporters. If we are generous, and say there were 15 of them (the articles mention three) they would have amounted to .5% of those in attendance, and most likely, all of the Republicans. Those people managed to make their way to the press gaggle (an easy task, everyone else being there to listen to Hillary and Obama) and the press lapped it up. The Day makes it clear: They played the press, the press knew they were being played, and the press wanted to be played. Now the press is playing its readers.

Does it ever occur to the media that these alleged Clintonites, who always seem to be salted with Republicans, may be bit players in a relatively benign (by Republican standards) Republican dirty trick, like the guy who switched registrations to become a Democrat for McCain? (Sorry, you’ll have to take my word on that one, I couldn’t find the article I read some weeks ago). Nary a note of suspicion darkens the coverage. For the press, it is sufficient that they find someone-anyone- who will reinforce their preferred narrative.

Nor is it true, as the Day states, that polls show Clinton supporters willing to break ranks. Don’t take my word for it. The same Newsweek poll that showed people saying that in May, when Hillary and her supporters were still fighting, now show Obama up by huge numbers, with a massive lead among women voters. All of which should elicit a great big “D’uh”, from anyone with any appreciation of human nature. This “fractured Democrats” line has always had an air of unreality about it. Early polls, before things heated up, showed Democrats happy with their choices, and enthusiastic about supporting whoever won. Emotions ran high for a while, and it’s not surprising that some people starting making dogmatic statements to pollsters in the heat of the moment. After all, it was a way to let off steam, and, to a certain extent, they were playing the pollsters. But no one with brains took that stuff seriously. Was it ever really likely, except in the fevered imagination of the press and in John McCain’s wet dreams, that a group of people profoundly disgusted to the depths of their collective souls at the malfeasance, corruption and criminality of the last seven years would vote for someone who promises more of the same? The press has no appreciation for the fact that some people takes this stuff seriously-that it really matters to them that the country is self destructing. If Obama loses, it will be because he will be successfully Swift-boated (aided by the press, of course, which will decline to label lies as lies). People will be voting against him out of fear or stupidity, not because he’s not Hillary.

Nonetheless, we’ll be hearing this stuff, evidence be damned, throughout the campaign. The McCain camp will always be able to produce a few outliers, and the press will lap them up. This is reminiscent of the media’s insistence on giving equal coverage to the half dozen freepers who show up at anti-war rallies attended by thousands of their ideological opponents (assuming the rallies are covered at all). And let’s not even get into the global warming debate and the “intelligent design is science, isn’t it?” issues.

Were this brainless search for the “few hardy dissenters” applied across the board it could be tolerated, but it isn’t. It is applied, almost exclusively, to those of us on the left side of the spectrum. How many people are aware, save us blog junkies, that almost 30% of the Republican faithful voted against McCain in the primaries after he had captured the nomination and his other opponents had withdrawn. We hear nothing about that thirty percent, but the press embraces the .5 percent who show up at a rally, without any inquiry about their true motives or backgrounds.

Finally, a little bit of information from a friend of ours, a resident of the great state of New Hampshire who went to the rally. My wife told her about the Day article, and here was her take:

Anti-Obama people were totally unnoticeable to me. There was a small contingency of presumably anti-Obama people outside the gates, but I went over to talk to them and it turns out they were McCain supporters.

I saw two people inside – after the event – holding two Hillary signs.

..

BTW, they were prepared for about 2500 people. I heard a volunteer say at the end of the day that there were about 4000 people there, but the papers are saying 6000.

Her observations are totally consistent with the actual facts presented in the article in the Day (and its cousin in the Courant). She and those like her were not news, though they represented the reality, not only of the event itself, but of the Democratic party as a whole.

UPDATE: Don’t seek, and sometimes you find anyway. While wandering around on my RSS feeder I came upon one link, which led to another and…

Here’s another quote from the Day article:

”You’re familiar with ‘puma?’ “ Chang asked the veteran reporter David Lightman of McClatchy newspapers, gesturing to the logo of the sneaker company on her shirt, but meaning something very different.

When Lightman raised his eyebrows, Chang spelled it out: “Party unity, my ass.”

Recall that I suggested that these folks might be Republican agents. Well, there is in fact, a PUMA Pac, founded by a person with no discernible connections to Clinton or Democrats, but who is a past supporter of John McCain. More here.

Update 2: Good analysis of the polls here, and some debunking of the “Obama is in trouble with Clinton’s constituency” narrative.

Friday Night Music-Blues Project

Every week it gets harder to dredge up a different artist or group. Luckily there’s lots of good stuff out there. This week someone sent me an email and mentioned Seatrain, which I saw in concert a couple of times while I was in college. For some reason, maybe it was the fact that they recorded an album in Marblehead, Mass, I thought they were a regional group, but in doing some research on the web, I discovered they were an offshoot of the Blues Project, as were Blood, Sweat and Tears, as you’ll read on the video. As it happens, there are no videos of Seatrain on youtube, so I decided to go with the Blues Project (I Can’t Keep From Crying), and to add, as a bonus, Al Kooper, a founding member, doing Wake Me, Shake Me.

By the way, before the show begins, if anyone has any suggestions for this little feature I’d love to have them.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Swrjs_bRlRc[/youtube]

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1x0i3Bba04&feature=related[/youtube]

Legal Developments here and there

When you shine the light on these people they suddenly become reluctant to own up to the opinions they push so vigorously while under their rocks. A bit of John Yoo being questioned by John Conyers. Loathsome is the word. If Yoo tried this in a courtroom he’d be found in contempt for refusing to answer the questions (via TPM):

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8wBkKT7aTpQ[/youtube]

Meanwhile, in other law related news, the Supreme Court has overturned its settled precedent to declare that individuals have a right to own guns. Here let us pause for an observation: Three times is the charm for Barack Obama. This week he has backtracked on FISA, declared his support for executing rapists, and now sided with the Neanderthal faction on the court. (I know, that’s unfair to Neanderthals). If he keeps this up he’ll have us pining for Hillary by the time he’s elected, and he may have shed so many of his earlier supporters that the McCain-Lieberman ticket will squeak by him.

Back to the gun decision. I’ve been wondering about this expected decision. It came out of the District of Columbia, which is not a state. As my lawyer readers will remember from law school, the Bill of Rights did not originally constrain the states. The protections of the Bill or Rights were, one by one, “incorporated” into the 14th Amendment, and applied to the states. Unless I’m very much mistaken, the court has never incorporated the Second Amendment. And, lo and behold, after a quick trip to the google, I find thataccording to Wikipedia, the court has actually declined to incorporate the Second Amendment in 1894. Will the court toss that precedent as well? The court should not have reached the issue in the case decided today, since it is irrelevant to a case involving the District. Again according to Wiki, more vital provisions of the Bill of Rights (to a sane person) have not been incorporated. One fairly important protection, the right to a jury trial in civil cases, has been held not incorporated. So it is not impossible that the court will back down a bit. I can’t recall the many cases I read in law school, and the standards that were applied, but yet again according to Wiki, the Court appears to have adopted Felix Frankfurter’s view that only those rights are protected “whose abridgment would ‘shock the conscience'”. In a country where torture no longer shocks the conscience, it’s hard to see why limiting gun ownership should do so. But of course, I dream. This is not a court that is interested in legal consistency. It is a political court with a political agenda, and they will inflict this decision on the states at the earliest opportunity.

Shoe drops at the Courant

A short while ago I briefly alluded to changes we could anticipate at the Courant thanks to Sam Zell’s keen appreciation for journalism. Today Editor and Publisher gives us the grisly details:

In a memo to staff, first posted on the Poynter.org Romenesko site, Editor Cliff Teutsch has revealed plans to cut news pages from 273 per week to 206, while cutting staff positions from 232 to about 175.

“Perhaps these are the numbers you were expecting. Perhaps they are a shock,” the memo says, in part. “I have had a little time to wrap my head around them; many of you will need to do that too. They will be life-changing for some, and they add a sober reality for all as we continue to remake the paper for a September launch.”

On the page cuts, Teutsch stated: “In general, we plan to build a more compact paper for weekdays, when readers are pressed for time. We will present information in short form whenever feasible and go in-depth for the most important, relevant stories. On Sunday, when many people spend more time reading, the paper will stay about the same size it is today. Daily and Sunday, we will add new content and new approaches. There will also be takeaways, and we will be as smart as we can about making them. The paper will be completely redesigned. We will fully integrate print and online, and increase interactivity with readers.”

So we will be getting less news, with fewer reporters, and what we get will be dumbed down even more than it has already been. Sounds like the “new” Courant will have all the allure of new Coke. To put the page cuts in perspective, the article from the New York Times to which I linked in my previous post had this to say:

At Tribune’s largest paper, The Los Angeles Times, Mr. Zell’s plan would mean cutting the news content by 82 pages weekly — more than the amount many small papers produce. Smaller reductions could be expected at the company’s other papers, including The Baltimore Sun, The Orlando Sentinel and The Hartford Courant.

The reduction at the Courant is smaller, but it still amounts to 67 pages of news. Unfortunately, I couldn’t find any data on the percentage cut at the Times, so I can’t provide an exact comparison, but I think it’s safe to say the proportional cut at the Courant is equal or greater than that at the Times. If my wife and I keep getting the Courant, it will be only for the comics, so if they cut those they will lose us for sure.

Joe Must Go

As per the previous post, Chris Dodd has done Connecticut proud. It’s almost enough to help us forget that other Connecticut Senator. But not quite. Take a moment to go here and sign the petition, not that it will do much good.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecr-QvOukfM[/youtube]

Dodd speaks out on FISA

Chris Dodd’s website has the text of his FISA speech in Congress today, but the audio won’t play, at least on Safari. I tried to embed it in a post, but it was silent. Parts of the speech are on youtube however, and here’s one:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4o_3bphT3dg[/youtube]

Harry Reid is clearing the way for this bill. I was surprised to read on the Huffington Post that Reid is distancing himself from Obama, who has cravenly disowned his previous opposition to the bill. Reid is doing precisely what he did before. He is personally opposing the bill, while doing all that he can to make sure it comes up for a vote in the form and in the manner that most suits the White House’s interests. Reid has power to set and shape the agenda. He has refused to use that power to fight FISA, and his own personal vote means little in that context. Reid is, in fact, doing pretty much what Obama now says he wants. He is going to force a doomed vote on immunity, and then clear the decks to make sure that Bush gets the bill he wants.

Note: This post was revised quite a bit from it’s original form, which was only up for a few minutes. I originally found a youtube of Dodd that I thought was his speech today. In fact, it was from December, so I substituted this video, and took out some comments that don’t necessarily apply to this video. Sorry about that.

Second Update: Harry Reid said, in the FISA context, that “I have an obligation here as the Majority Leader to move legislation that the majority of the body wants to go forward.” He seems to be quite selective in choosing bills on which he discharges that obligation. Latest case in point, a bill that even George Bush supports to fight AIDS in Africa. It seems seven Republican Senators prefer that we try not to prevent the spread of AIDS. They prefer we let the disease run rampant and then treat the victims. The majority of the Senate wants the bill, but is it going forward?

McConnell and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., support the legislation and said they were pushing for a compromise. Reid has been reluctant to move the legislation forward until an agreement is struck, and this week Democratic leaders focused blame for the delay on the seven senators.

Seven Republicans can do what 15 Democrats cannot. It’s great to be in the majority, isn’t it?

Dodd to filibuster, Harry Reid to subvert

You can see the endgame from a mile away. To his credit, Dodd has announced that he will filibuster the FISA legislation. Harry Reid has announced that he will co-sponsor Dodd’s amendment to strip immunity out of this legislation. Nonetheless, it’s clear that Reid stands ready to put the knife into Dodd, and to deliver the blow quickly:

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) announced moments ago on the Senate floor that he would vote against FISA, but that he has an obligation to move legislation that the majority wants:

I don’t particularly like FISA, and I’m going to vote against FISA. But, I have an obligation here as the Majority Leader to move legislation that the majority of the body wants to go forward.

This is a very interesting concept. Apparently his obligation to move legislation wanted by the majority is operative only when a large majority of that majority consists of Republicans. He has done nothing to move legislation opposed by Republicans, but supported by a majority of the Senate. Republicans have been allowed to kill legislation, often politically popular legislation, merely be announcing an intent to filibuster.

In an even richer irony: Pelosi, without whom this bill would never have seen the light of day, and who voted for the bill in the House, has this to say:

At a breakfast with reporters this morning, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) said it would be “healthy and wholesome” if the Senate filibustered the House-passed bill.

There is, undoubtedly, a reason why the Democratic leadership feels impelled to cave to Bush, make themselves look weak and irresolute, and eviscerate the Constitution, and give a one fingered salute to their most loyal supporters. The money from the telecoms does not appear to be a sufficient explanation. Could they still be suffering from battered legislator syndrome. Could it be that they are still listening to the pundits who helped sell the Iraq War, and now insist that only the un-serious people (you know, the ones who opposed the Iraq War from the start) are opposed to making Bush an elected king? No explanation seems satisfactory, but as sure as there’s no God in Heaven, Reid will deliver this bill to Bush, despite his protestations.

Confirming the obvious

The inspector general at the justice department has just confirmed an open (not-so) secret. The Justice Department has been consciously seeking to stock the civil service ranks in the justice department with conservative lawyers, without much regard to credentials, such as intelligence or legal ability.

High-ranking political appointees at the Justice Department labored to stock a prestigious hiring program with young conservatives in a five-year-long attempt to reshape the department’s ranks, according to an inspector general’s report to be released today.

The report will trace the effort to 2002, early in the Bush administration, when key advisers to then-Attorney General John D. Ashcroft moved to exert more control over the program to hire rookie lawyers and summer interns, according to two people familiar with the probe.

The honors program, which each year places about 150 law school graduates with top credentials in a rotation of Justice jobs, historically had operated under the control of senior career officials. Shifting control of the program to Ashcroft’s advisers prompted charges of partisanship from law professors and former government lawyers who had worked under Democratic administrations.

This has been known for years, but there’s a certain satisfaction in having it confirmed.

This report underscores one of the many challenges that will face a President Obama in January. The Justice Department is not unique. The Bushies have perverted the system throughout the government in a conscious attempt to undermine the various agencies. What better way to prove that government cannot work than by seeding its ranks with people who take that position as an article of faith, and will do whatever they can to make sure they are proven right.

Obama will find himself struggling against these people at every turn. They were hired for political reasons, but they are now protected by the civil service system that was subverted in order to hire them. Bush and his minions have a proven record of incompetence almost across the board. The one exception was their ability to identify the weak spots in the system and exploit them in order to grab and retain power, even, as seems likely, in the event of electoral failure.

Nutmeggers smarter than almost everyone else (in the USA at least)

In its continuing drive to ignore actual current events, the Courant managed to stumble onto a fairly interesting story that reflects well on Connecticut:

A poll released Monday by the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life shows that Connecticut (along with Rhode Island), though still home to many believers, ranks near the bottom of most indicators of religious fervor, compared with the rest of the United States.

When asked how many of us are “absolutely certain” we believe in God or a universal spirit, only 57 percent responded yes. Only the folks in New Hampshire and Vermont scored lower, at 54 percent.

At first blush, this speaks well for the level of intelligence here in New England, but there may be another explanation. It’s not necessarily the case that we are smarter than the average American, though truth to tell that’s really not saying much. Maybe we’re just more honest. We’re we folks in Connecticut polled about our feelings about race, even the racists among us would be a bit hesitant about admitting to their vice, while in Mississippi, where 91% of the folks claim to have no doubts about God, more folks would feel quite comfortable about admitting to being racists. It’s all a question of what is relatively acceptable. Down in Mississippi, rational thinking is frowned upon, while racism is more or less accepted, if not required. We in New England take a more benign view of the freethinker. For can it be that, in their heart of hearts, only 9% of Mississippians, as dumb as they undoubtedly are, have never entertained a doubt about the existence of God? Of course they have, but down there admitting to such a doubt is like admitting to reading books. You just don’t do that kind of thing down there. We take a broader view up here, so the level of honest responses goes up.

But we cannot smugly sit on our laurels. As advanced as we are, less than half of us are willing to admit to doubts about the existence of the Hairy Thunderer. Those of us in the rational minority must encourage our fellow New Englanders to listen to-nay embrace- that inner voice of reason. Just as the anti-slavery movement began in New England, so must the pro-Reason Renaissance. Once we have completely legitimized reason here, we can more effectively export it to the solid, superstitious South.

More on FISA

Glenn Greenwald has an excellent piece on the FISA bill, as well as the mainstream media reaction to it, which is to hail it as a compromise rather than the sell-out that it is. At times like this, mega corporations must stick together. Via that article, an honorable exception, from, who else? Keith Olbermann.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2MpyODTLnY[/youtube]

One point I haven’t made in my numerous tirades about this bill is made in the video above. The Democrats, or at least the Democratic leadership, were made complicit in this power abuse. The bill represents a massive cover up, designed to make sure that the public never becomes aware of the full extent of the crimes committed by Bush and enabled by leading Democrats. The fact that the cover up involves further evisceration of the Constitution doesn’t concern them. They are more interested in the maintenance of that cover-up and their hopes to gain more seats in Congress. Sad to say, I must agree with Greenwald that we must target Democrats who supported this bill. It’s a bit early to start eating our own. That usually comes a few years after a party takes control, but we might not have much time left, if it is not already too late. Greenwald:

If, as a result of their destruction of the Fourth Amendment and the rule of law, they see that they lose seats — that John Barrow and Chris Carney are removed from Congress and Steny Hoyer’s standing in his district is severely compromised and that list of targets continues to grow — then they’ll conclude that they can’t build their Vast and Glorious Democratic Majority by dismantling the Constitution and waging war on civil liberties. The Democratic Party in Congress is enslaved to the goal of winning more “swing districts” by supporting extremist measures — such as the FISA “compromise” — that please the right-wing. They need to learn that they won’t benefit, but will suffer, when they do that.

I wrote before about a group that is raising money to do just that. It’s worth a donation to make these “Democrats” feel some heat as a result of this sell-out.

Moveon is trying to hold Obama’s feet to the fire on this one. Obama promised to filibuster telecom immunity back in the day, but now he’s more afraid of being called a wuss on terrorism than he is of offending the folks who brought him to where he is today.