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Crying Wolf

We all know the fable of the little boy who cried “WOLF!”. One benefit he conferred on the villagers he fooled, which always goes unmentioned, is that until he was exposed as a liar, they undoubtedly took measures to protect themselves from the non-existent wolf. Had there been a real wolf, they would have been prepared. So, in that spirit, I am about to cry WOLF!, or at least that’s what I hope I’m doing.

Despite what all the pundits may say, and all the party insiders may say, I believe that Donald J. Trump has a better than even chance of becoming the next president. I think that’s the case no matter who the Democrats nominate. I’ve previously given my reasons for thinking that Hillary could lose. Bernie, who after last night is out of it anyway, could lose for another set of reasons: were it Bernie vs. Trump my bet is that the establishment would find Trump less terrifying than Bernie. After all, when all is said and done, he’s a billionairre whose personal interests line up with those of the other billionairres, and who has been quite frank about the fact that when it’s a choice between what’s good for Donald Trump and what’s good for his fellow man, Donald Trump wins hands down. That’s the kind of thinking that warms the cockles of their hearts, so while they’ll no doubt grumble, they would back him given the alternative, and a compliant media would spend months smearing Sanders. There’s also the very real fact that people have been turning out in droves to vote for him, generally in greater numbers that vote in the Democratic primaries.

By now, it should be clear that the “Trump can’t win” trope is wearing a bit thin. If our betters knew better, he’d have faded away months ago. We are marching toward fascism. I am hoping that come November I will be a laughingstock for having made such a ludicrous prediction. In the meantime, I’ll be pricing out real estate in Canada.

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