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Some tiny reason to hope

This poll makes fun reading. I’ll be the first to admit that polls mean very little this early into the four year cycle (the term “administration” doesn’t seem appropriate for the incompetent horror show we are enduring).

I have a good friend who has someone with whom he must deal on a daily basis (not his spouse, I hasten to add) that is as committed to Trump now as she was when she voted for him, despite the shitstorm of the last few months. I argued to him that these people will hang on as long as they can, but at some point, they’ll crack. Bush had his Katrina, after all. This poll supplies at least some support for my view, though it’s hardly conclusive:

It’s very early, but Trump trails by wide margins in hypothetical match ups for reelection. He does particularly poorly against Joe Biden (54/40 deficit) and Bernie Sanders (52/39 deficit.) There’s significant defection from people who voted for Trump in November in each of those match ups- 15% of Trump voters say they’d choose Sanders over him and 14% say they’d choose Biden over him.

Trump also trails Elizabeth Warren (49/39), Al Franken (46/38), and Cory Booker (46/39).

We also looked at Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson’s prospects if he were to run for President as a Democrat. 36% of voters see Johnson favorably to 13% with a negative view of him, although 50% of voters have no opinion about him either way. Both Democrats (38/15) and Republicans (31/17) see him positively. Johnson would lead Trump 42/37 in a prospective contest, and wins over 15% of people who supported Trump last fall.

These folks may just be looking for an excuse to bail, while saving face. They can legitimately claim that Sanders is speaking to their issues (the non-racist issues anyway), and they probably think Biden does too, though he doesn’t. In fact, they’re probably in an anyone but Hillary mode, so they can justify an about face. They may just need to be appropriate cultivated. We don’t need all of them. In fact, we just need a few in a few states, as long as our voters are allowed to vote again.It’s not easy to admit you’ve been duped by a con-artist.

Another interesting stat is the impeachment question. More people (48%) want him impeached than actually believe he won’t serve out his term. But the latter number, at 45%, is still high. As has been pointed out elsewhere, this is without any significant mention of the possibility in the mainstream media.

Again, early polling, but if this keeps up, enough Republicans may run for cover to make it impossible for Ryan to get his agenda through Congress. (Remember, Trump’s only real agenda is Trump. It’s the evil Ryan we have to block.)

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