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Not so fast-the Dems could blow this one too

Ted Cruz, the man who makes his fellow senators look good, is apparently thinking of running for President, and at least one blogger at Daily Kos is licking his (or her) chops:

Cruz is a perfect candidate for the right: He’s as crazy as Michele Bachmann, but instead of degrees from Winona State University and the Marshall-Wythe School of Law, he’s got degrees from Princeton and Harvard. He’s managed to fuse the religious fundamentalism of Rick Santorum with the economic libertarianism of Rand Paul. And his last name is Cruz, so Reince Priebus thinks he’s got huge crossover appeal to Latinos.

I’m rooting for him to run in a big way. Cruz could never win a general election, but the delusional right won’t realize that fact until it’s too late. (Remember, even after the polls closed and states were called, these guys thought Mitt Romney was going to win.)

But even though Cruz would be another Goldwater, he presses every conservative button, so it would be a mistake to discount his capacity to win the nomination. And even though he talks a good game about standing up to “the establishment,” the establishment seems to be warming up to him: The New York State Republican Party just invited him to be their headline speaker at their annual dinner later this month even though he voted against Hurricane Sandy relief aid as one of his first acts in the Senate.

Cruz’s real liability won’t show up until the general election: He’s just too extreme for the country. But in a GOP primary without an experienced establishment favorite like Mitt Romney, that’s an asset.

(via Daily Kos: Calgary Cruz 2016!)

This is all theoretically sound, but we must be cautious. It completely discounts the astounding ability of the Democrats to throw away every political advantage that comes their way. (Witness their ham-handed response to the cynical Republican FAA ploy, and who knows how many of them will sign on to Obama’s idea to cut social security in the name of pretending to do something about a debt problem that does not presently exist) Sometimes they’ve succeeded in spite of themselves, as in 2012, but occasional past performance is no guarantee of future performance. You can’t consistently win elections by relying on people to vote for the saner of two evils. Sooner or later they’ll figure they have nothing to lose by going with the crazy guy.

A bullet dodged?

I am not a football fan, and I pay almost zero attention to the sport, even during the height of the season. Yet even I became aware of the threat to the future of our country posed by one Tim Tebow, an insufferable Christian. He was welcome to all the football success in the world (though even I knew he was overhyped in Colorado), except for the sneaking suspicion I had that he was looking to eventually parlay his football success into a right wing political career.

So I must plead guilty to feeling no small amount of schadenfreude today at the news that Mr. Tebow has been consigned to the ash heap of football history at the tender young age of 25. No doubt he’ll find a career in the tv ministry or something, but I’m hoping that his road to political advancement has been made a good deal rockier by his new status as a total loser. Who knows, maybe he’ll be able to blame his failure on those New York City folks, and get himself elected to the Senate from Alabama or some other stupid state, but we have at least some cause to hope that we’ve heard the last of him.

Friday Night Bonus Video

Stephen Colbert destroys Reinhart and Rogoff, in two parts:

Part Two:

What a strange world we live in. The comedians are the only ones who tell us the truth.

If you’ve been following this controversy you may know that the New York Times has given the duo two columns today in which to defend themselves and attack the people who exposed their errors. When I read one of their columns this morning I knew it was bull when they said that they had found an “association” between high debt and low growth. Their paper has been used for years to argue that high debt causes low growth, which is another thing altogether, and they have done nothing to disabuse anyone of the notion. Read Dean Baker’s reaction here for a more informed takedown.

Friday Night Music

I don’t live in Boston, but I’ve been a Sox fan all my life, so I’ve certainly had my heart broken there a lot and I feel like in some small way that it’s my fuckin’ city too. So, in case you haven’t seen them, here’s the folks in Boston affirming their resilience. I mean where else can you get 30,000 people to do a reasonably good job singing an unsingable song?

Now, for a non-musical interlude.

And, finally, for reasons that are somewhat revealed here, Sweet Caroline is played at every Red Sox game. Here’s Neil Diamond accompanying himself and the crowd.

An economic theory, revisited

Paul Krugman grapples with the baffling fact that austerity continues its grip on policy when it has been proven ineffective time and again:

Part of the answer surely lies in the widespread desire to see economics as a morality play, to make it a tale of excess and its consequences. We lived beyond our means, the story goes, and now we’re paying the inevitable price. Economists can explain ad nauseam that this is wrong, that the reason we have mass unemployment isn’t that we spent too much in the past but that we’re spending too little now, and that this problem can and should be solved. No matter; many people have a visceral sense that we sinned and must seek redemption through suffering — and neither economic argument nor the observation that the people now suffering aren’t at all the same people who sinned during the bubble years makes much of a dent.

But it’s not just a matter of emotion versus logic. You can’t understand the influence of austerity doctrine without talking about class and inequality.

What, after all, do people want from economic policy? The answer, it turns out, is that it depends on which people you ask — a point documented in a recent research paper by the political scientists Benjamin Page, Larry Bartels and Jason Seawright. The paper compares the policy preferences of ordinary Americans with those of the very wealthy, and the results are eye-opening.

Thus, the average American is somewhat worried about budget deficits, which is no surprise given the constant barrage of deficit scare stories in the news media, but the wealthy, by a large majority, regard deficits as the most important problem we face. And how should the budget deficit be brought down? The wealthy favor cutting federal spending on health care and Social Security — that is, “entitlements” — while the public at large actually wants to see spending on those programs rise.

You get the idea: The austerity agenda looks a lot like a simple expression of upper-class preferences, wrapped in a facade of academic rigor. What the top 1 percent wants becomes what economic science says we must do.

He goes on to make the point that in the long run, we would all, rich and poor alike, be better off if we abandoned austerity, though the rich have done far better under this regimen than the rest of us.

So once again, I tender what I believe to be the correct explanation for this phenomenon.

President Kennedy once observed that a rising tide lifts all boats. The point was that in a good economy we’re all better off, be our boat a yacht or a kayak. But his analogy was somewhat flawed, for in a rising economy, one in which we peons get decent social security, health care and wage increases that reflect our productivity, our boats, relative to those of the 1%, might rise just a bit higher relative to theirs. Sure, they’d still be able to look down from the decks of their yachts into the hold of our canoes, but they’d be holding their heads an an angle slightly less oblique, and this they cannot abide. Why is this? Again, I must quote a line masterfully delivered by Robert Vaughn, playing an arch-villain capitalist in Superman III: “It is not enough that [they] succeed, everyone else must fail.”

So, while the super-rich might succeed just a tad more if we ditched austerity, it would not be enough to make up for the fact that so many fewer would fail. They see before them the prospect of a brighter tomorrow, a world governed by and for the oligarchs, dressed up in a facade of faux democracy to keep the proles ground down and quiescent. They’re not about to give that up for a few extra bucks that none of them need.

This is getting tiresome

There are times when a sane person can reach only one sensible conclusion about the Democratic members of the House and Senate: They are engaged in a silent conspiracy to put the Republicans in power. True, the Republicans make it hard for them, but the Democrats soldier on.

Latest case in point, as many others have noted, is the latest Democratic cave. (Or is it a cave? No, it’s not. The premise of this post is that it is part of a grand strategy). Anyway, putting the digression aside, is there any reasonable explanation for the fact that the Democrats voted en masse to exempt the FAA from the sequester? The whole alleged point of this stupid exercise was to spread the pain and give everyone an incentive to compromise, and elicit pressure from constituents of every stripe.

But, sorry about that, no one intended to inflict pain on the rich nor on members of Congress, who happen to travel a lot. They’re so not used to it. So, naturally, the Republicans squealed on behalf of the rich, and the Democrats immediately “compromised” by giving the Republicans a PR victory while the Republicans give what they always give in these compromises: nothing.

It can’t be mere stupidity. No one can possibly be that stupid. It must be intentional, leading one ineluctably to the conclusion that the Democratic Party, as an institution, exists for the sole purpose of enabling the Republican Party.

I should add that Obama, the guy who wants to cut social security, will leave his veto pen in the drawer and sign on to this surrender, implicitly pleading guilty to the ridiculous Republican charge that the cutbacks at the FAA were somehow a political tactic rather than the natural result of the Republicans’ own actions.

In case you were wondering, Connecticut Democrats fell right into the surrender line.

The SEC thinks about doing the right thing

In this morning’s Times we learn that the SEC is actually considering a petition that seeks a rule requiring the corporations to tell their owners (you know, the stockholders) which politicians they are bribing and which socially destructive causes they are financing. (Oddly enough, they are never shy about letting everyone know if they spend their money on something they can at least pretend is a worthy cause).

A loose coalition of Democratic elected officials, shareholder activists and pension funds has flooded the Securities and Exchange Commission with calls to require publicly traded corporations to disclose to shareholders all of their political donations, a move that could transform the growing world of secret campaign spending.

S.E.C. officials have indicated that they could propose a new disclosure rule by the end of April, setting up a major battle with business groups that oppose the proposal and are preparing for a fierce counterattack if the agency’s staff moves ahead. Two S.E.C. commissioners have taken the unusual step of weighing in already, with Daniel Gallagher, a Republican, saying in a speech that the commission had been “led astray” by “politically charged issues.”

(via www.nytimes.com)

Naturally, the folks who get the lions share of the bribes, and, not incidentally, support the unworthy causes their corporate masters tend to fund, have rushed to the ramparts.

In response to the growing pressure, House Republicans introduced legislation last Thursday that would make it illegal for the commission to issue any political disclosure regulations applying to companies under its jurisdiction. Earlier this month, the leaders of three of Washington’s most powerful trade associations — the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the National Association of Manufacturers and the Business Roundtable — issued a rare joint letter to the chief executives of Fortune 200 companies, encouraging them to stand against proxy resolutions and other proposals from shareholder activists demanding more disclosure of political spending.

(via www.nytimes.com)

I do grow old. I remember a time when politicians felt the need to preserve a facade; to preserve what I believe the Nixon folks called “plausible deniability”, but those days are obviously past. They truly know no shame, and have no fear of letting the world know that they have been well and truly purchased.

But truly, these Republicans should really not have bothered, unless the point is merely to curry favor with their puppet masters. There was, perhaps, a time when the SEC might have seriously considered enacting such a rule, but those days are also long since past. Who knows, there may be folks in the lower echelons of that agency who would like to adopt such a rule, as the article states, but even they must know that this is all just kabuki. The SEC is now run by and for the corporations it regulates. The higher ups, who make the final decisions, are on a merry go round, making civil service salaries now so they can go back from whence they came, with salaries enhanced and more, to make up for those pauper’s wages and reward them for a job well done. My money is on them to come through for the corporations they have learned to serve, whatever the lower down folks may propose.

Good riddance

Max Baucus, the West’s answer to Joe Lieberman, will be riding off into the sunset. Time to cash in for carrying all that water for the health care, insurance, and financial industries (to mention only a few). Why let former aides get all the money?

No man has done more to undermine the Democrats from within. His only saving grace was that he never claimed, as did Liberman, that he was acting out of some lofty moral principles. He was more or less upfront about his corruption.

Yet one more modest proposal

In all seriousness I submit that President Obama should send the following letter, or one like it, to the person was was recently elected to the Senate from Texas:

Dear Senator Cruz:

I am in receipt of your request for federal funds to help the victims of the recent explosion that took place in your state. Believe me when I say that nothing would make me more personally happy than to accede to your request, but alas, I must hesitate to do so.

As you know, I recently made the mistake of requesting such funds for the victims of hurricane Sandy. As you also know, I am always ready to consider the positions of every Senator, be he or she a Republican or Democrat. During the debate on that bill I confess I was impressed with your cogent and erudite exposition of the constitutional principles at stake in taking an action that, to others, might appear to be simply the right thing to do in the face of disaster. While it was too late to stop the Sandy relief effort, I vowed that henceforth I would adhere to the constitutional principles that you so ably and convincingly espoused during that debate.

Imagine my surprise, then, to find that my first opportunity to demonstrate my new found conservative principles would involve an event in the State of Texas. But principles are principles, and I have, at least so far, come to the reluctant conclusion that the constitution forbids me from taking the steps you have proposed.

I confess, however, that I may be mistaken. A man of principle like yourself would most assuredly never change his position for purely parochial reasons. It is certainly possible, nay, even probable, that there is a fundamental constitutional distinction between the two situations; one that only a person as well versed in the law and our founding principles as you can discern.

Therefore, my decision to deny your request is, at this point, merely provisional. I invite you to submit your arguments in written form, explaining why disaster relief was inappropriate in the case of a natural disaster such as Sandy, but entirely appropriate in the wake of an explosion caused in great part by the negligence of Texas state officials. Please submit your statement in the form of a five part essay of no less than one thousand, and no more than two thousand words. Believe me when I say that nothing would please me more than to be persuaded that the constitution allows me to furnish the assistance you have requested. In order to assist me in this task, I have asked the governors of New York, New Jersey, Maryland, Connecticut and Massachusetts to help me review your submission. If they are persuaded, you may rest assured that I will be persuaded.

I look forward to hearing from you.

Yours truly,

Barack Obama

Friday Night Music

I spent some time perusing a list of songs about Boston, but truth to tell, I kept coming back to this one. These guys are a bit long in the tooth, and I don’t think it’s true that Boston girls still have to be in by twelve o’clock, but hey, those were different times. It’s still the Boston National Anthem.

This isn’t about Boston, but it’s sort of what the Boston folks have been saying about their town and their attitude.