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Half right

Obama, against all odds, appears to be winning (at least for the moment) the debate about Iraq. This is mainly because al-Maliki is no fool, and like the rest of the world, he is not interested in another four years of George Bush, brought to you by an increasingly befuddled McCain.

But we here have to hope that once firmly ensconced in the White House, Obama will re-think the other half of his Iraq policy: his commitment to throw additional troops into the quagmire that is Afghanistan. This may be smart politics in the short run, but all this may come back to haunt him in the White House. Juan Cole makes the case for withdrawal in clear concise prose.

We who admire him don’t want Afghanistan to become an albatross around the neck of a President Obama. I am old enough to remember one of the things that nearly killed the Democratic Party as a presidential party in the US, which was the way Lyndon Johnson let himself gradually get roped into ramping up the US troop presence in Vietnam from a small force to 500,000, and then still not win.

Afghan tribes are fractious. They feud. Their territory is vast and rugged, and they know it like the back of their hands. Afghans are Jeffersonians in the sense that they want a light touch from the central government, and heavy handedness drives them into rebellion. Stand up Karzai’s army and air force and give him some billions to bribe the tribal chiefs, and let him apply carrot and stick himself. We need to get out of there. “Al-Qaeda” was always Bin Laden’s hype. He wanted to get us on the ground there so that the Mujahideen could bleed us the way they did the Soviets. It is a trap.

Beware.

It may have been possible to “win” that war, but we screwed up there as we did everywhere else the past seven years, and it’s doubtful we can recover. Osama’s not there anymore, we don’t understand the culture, and Afghanistan has historically been a graveyard for would be imperialists. The British were culturally sensitive by comparison to us, and they got their asses handed to them in Afghanistan. Same with the Russians. We can’t keep bombing wedding parties and expect to win hearts and minds.

McCain whines foul

The McCain campaign is all a-twitter because the New York Times has rejected an op-ed piece he submitted (does anyone believe he actually wrote it?) as a response to Barack Obama’s recent op-ed. There may be a bit of payback on the part of the Times (which was iced out of the great medical records cover up a few months ago), but their point is valid. Op-ed editor David Shipley:

The Obama piece worked for me because it offered new information (it appeared before his speech); while Senator Obama discussed Senator McCain, he also went into detail about his own plans….It would be terrific to have an article from Senator McCain that mirrors Senator Obama’s piece. To that end, the article would have to articulate, in concrete terms, how Senator McCain defines victory in Iraq.”

You can compare the two pieces. I’ve linked to Obama’s piece above; (and though it pains me to post this link) you can read the McCain piece at the D****e Report. Obama’s piece mentions McCain, but it’s about his Iraq policy. McCain’s piece mentions Iraq, but it’s really just a petulant campaign screed against Obama.

On a related note, isn’t it funny how sometimes you should be careful what you ask for. McCain demanded that Obama go to Iraq. Obama went, and he has grown in stature, leaving McCain gasping for air. Here’s hoping that when Obama gets home he pivots and turns the conversation to the economy.

Kudos to the Day

Of the three major newspapers in the country (Washington Post, NY Times, and LA Times) only the Los Angeles paper gave front page coverage to the fact that Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki supports Obama’s pullout plan. (The US government apparently pressured the Iraqis to step away from full throated support, but the disclaimer is not very convincing).

The New London Day put the story where it belongs: prominently featured on the front page.

The predominant narrative has McCain cast as a foreign policy expert and potential commander in chief par excellence, despite his lack of an foreign policy or diplomatic credentials (same as Obama) and despite his record of being consistently wrong in real time (the surge included, which has not achieved the goals it was supposed to achieve). It’s the one area where McCain leads Obama. Inexplicable but true. If Obama can shatter that narrative, and the al-Maliki comments have to help, then McCain will have lost his last best hope for election. Al-Maliki’s comments were important, and the Day is to be commended for giving them prominence.

The Courant, by the way, continues down the path of irrelevance, treating us to yet another story about yet another Cheshire resident who was eternally scarred by the murders there last year. There is one hard news story on the Courant’s front page, so I guess it’s actually a good day for them.

Exploit me next, please!

From Frank Rich’s column in Today’s Times:

Just two weeks before publicly sharing his thoughts about America’s “mental recession,” Mr. Gramm laid out equally incendiary views in a Wall Street Journal profile that portrayed him as “almost certainly” the McCain choice for Treasury secretary. Mr. Gramm said that the former chief executive of AT&T, Ed Whitacre, was “probably the most exploited worker in American history” since he received only a $158 million pay package rather than the “billions” he deserved for his success in growing Southwestern Bell.

Words fail me, though I must point out that this is the man to whom McCain will probably outsource running our economy, or should I say running it into the ground, as he apparently did to UBS.

Weekend pics

A few pictures from here and yon. A couple of shots from the Art on Groton Bank show. My wife bought a very small painting from the artist at this booth (a steal at $5.00). Yes, that’s Neil Young at the lower left.

Groton Bank Art Show

One of the younger artists concentrated on pictures inspired by the Transformers. We preferred this one, which was not for sale, having been promised to his mother.

Groton Art Show-Dog

As part of an occasional weekend feature, to cover up for a lack of substantive posting, I’ll be putting up some pictures of our garden (that’s being generous to me. My wife does the work, and I eat the results). The picture below, of a bottle gourd, was taken last week. This is the first year she’s grown these. They have taken over a fair portion of the garden, and apparently are strictly decorative, though they can be transformed into bird houses, which we might try.

Bottle Gourd

The Onions are ripe for harvest (with the garlic due next week). The are absolutely huge and very sweet tasting.

Onion

We went to Hartford yesterday to visit my mother, and stopped on the way back to take this picture, a familiar sight to folks from our part of the state, but perhaps something new for folks from the rest of the state that don’t use Route 85. The T-Rex in Chesterfield is feeling the heat like everyone else.

Dinosaur

The T-Rex is at Nature’s Art in Chesterfield, across from David’s Place. My youngest son was a dinosaur fanatic, and I’ve always regretted that this place opened after his interest faded. There’s a number of life size dinosaurs on a nature trail behind the store, so if you have little dinosaur fiends in the family, it’s a nice stop.

George Bush hearts Schrödinger’s cat.

I enjoy reading books about physics. I don’t pretend to clearly understand all of the paradoxes that have been introduced into modern physics, but I feel that, at least while I’m reading about them, I can sidle up to a sort of understanding. We are not hard wired to understand these things, so they’re counterintuitive. Schrödinger tells us that the cat is neither dead nor alive until we open the box.. Light consists of both particles and waves, depending on the circumstances. The Firesign Theater tells us you can’t be in two places at once, but physics says that a particle can, in fact, be in two places at once. Heisenberg teaches us that we can’t speak with certainty about a particle’s position unless we give up all hope of measuring its velocity. The mind reels. In the case of the cat, any statement we make about its viability is both true and untrue, until we open the box.

Most scientists would likely say that these paradoxes have no application to the world of politics. In fact, more than one book of science that I have read cautions against trying to apply concepts like the uncertainty principle to other intellectual disciplines. Consider the postmodern theorists who have attempted to employ relativity theory and other scientific concepts in support of their notions about objective truth.

Where the postmodernists have failed, the Bush propaganda machine appears to have succeeded brilliantly. The Bushies may disdain science, but they know a good thing when they see it. What better propaganda tool than a word or phrase that is both true and false at that same time, or that at one and the same times asserts one thing while simultaneously denying that very thing. Consider the newly announced policy of the Bush Administration to set a “time horizon” for meeting “aspirational goals in Iraq”.

First, consider the phrase in isolation. It sounds like it means the same as a “timeline”, and in fact, it does appear to imply a fixed date by which a particular defined event will take place. The media and most observers have seized on the phrase to conclude that Bush has agreed to a timeline, at least in principle.

Maybe he has.

But, consider the cat. Maybe he hasn’t, for like Humpty Dumpty, both the Bush folks and John McCain can and have insisted that a word means what they choose it to mean, and at the moment the phrase, according to them, does not mean timeline.

But then again, maybe it does. Or maybe it will.

Until Bush decides to open the box, he has either agreed to a timeline or he has not. In fact, he has both agreed to a timeline and not agreed to a timeline, just as the cat is both dead and alive. Bush’s puppet masters can literally have it both ways, and who can gainsay them? Once the box is opened, and all the possibilities have collapsed into one, we will know what the phrase has come to mean, but until that date, if it ever arrives, the phrase exists in a the same eerie world as Schrödinger’s hapless feline.

We can only hope the “time horizon” collapses into a “timeline”, but be wary. The choice of the phrase “time horizon” fills me with a sense of foreboding. In my experience, no matter how far you travel, the horizon always appears to be just as far away as it was when you started. If the Bush-McCain time horizon works the same way, we’re in trouble.

Friday Night Music-Cream

Thanks to a commenter for suggesting this. It lightened my workload tonight, and you can’t go wrong with Cream. From their Farewell Concert, 1968 edition.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6e5Yhkx3UM[/youtube]

How far a fall

The day that I started work at my law firm we inherited a case involving the New Haven Register. Since I had just started, and had nothing else to do, I carried a briefcase for the senior partner working on the case, on which we made a lot of money. At that time, the Register was owned by a trust set up by its founders, in which each of his children had a share. Several beneficiaries of the trust brought suit against the trustees. It was a long running family feud, played out in the courts. We arrived in the last act. The denouement involved the sale of the paper to what I believe is its current owner, for a large sum of money.

The Register is now owned by the Journal Register Co. and appears to now be worth a lot less than the amount for which it was sold back in 1986. In fact, the Journal Register Co. is on the verge of bankruptcy, but not necessarily because the Register is not worth anything, or because it could not turn a profit as a free standing enterprise.

Journal Register has said it is exploring strategic alternatives, including the sale of all or some of its assets, which include the New Haven (Conn.) Register, The Trentonian in Trenton, N.J. and about 20 other dailies.

The paper is burdened by big debt taken on to finance a disastrous purchase of a cluster of suburban Detroit dailies. It has warned in regulatory filings that it expects to be in violation of its loan covenants by July 23. Journal Register (Other OTC: JRCO.PK) was delisted from the New York Stock Exchange earlier this year, and now trades on the Pink Sheet.

Journal Register stock closed Wednesday at 14 cents a share, giving it a market capitalization of $5.5 million.

I don’t remember what the Register (just a part of the Journal Register Co.) sold for in 1986. I do remember that the plaintiffs suing the trust felt it should be sold for about $24 million, but it eventually sold for far more than that. Now the whole kit and caboodle is worth 5 million dollars.

It’s a shame to see a newspaper at risk, not because it failed on its merits, but because it couldn’t generate enough income to pay off loans for purchases from which it gained no advantage. I’m no economist, but it seems self evident that something has to give when a business is saddled with a large amount of debt incurred for purposes entirely extraneous to its own operations. The same would apply, it seems, in the case of a business bought on credit, which must then earn sufficient money not just to turn a profit, but to pay off a mortgage on itself that previously did not exist. This is particularly true if the business in question has a relatively slim profit margin. The preferred method of the modern capitalist to solve this problem is to cheapen the product, in the expectation that the customer won’t notice. Sometimes they don’t, but often they do, and the company dies, crushed by debt. In addition to the Register, we may lose the Courant (not that it’s worth that much at the moment) for exactly that reason.

Art on Groton Bank returns

Actually, I forgot to mention the first show in June. Audrey Heard sent a press release, from which the following is excerpted:

ART ON GROTON BANK will hold its second event of its second year at the Bill Memorial Library at 240 Monument Street in Groton City on July 19, 2008 from 10:00 AM to 4:00 PM. Paintings, sculptures, photography and fine arts crafts will be shown on the chain link fences surrounding the library property and its tents on the grounds.

Amont the artists participating are: Lynn Anderson, Karen Cashman, Carla Gaudio, Robin Grace, Robert Hauschild, Audrey Heard and jewelry maker Darryll Tootel. Over 70% of the artists are alumni of either Lyme Academy College of Fine Arts or of Rhode Island School of Design, an outstanding level of abilities. Who knows, you may buy a future masterpiece.

We bought a future masterpiece last year, and the price was right. If you’re not from the immediate area, this will give you a chance to see some fine art, soak up some Revolutionary War History, and, if your feeling fit, climb to the top of the monument to get a bird’s eye view of the area.

To get there, point your car toward Groton and head toward the monument, pictured here:

Monument

Audrey, pictured below, will be there to greet you.

Audrey

By the way, they have a very nice website, at www.artongrotonbank.org, where you can see some samples of the type of art they have on view.

Light posting

On Monday the Charter Revision Commission voted to send the proposed Charter on to the Town Council, along with a report that describes the changes we proposed. The folks who supported the referendum are writing a minority report. Since our original report does not address the referendum issue, and the minority report will only address the referendum issue, I thought I would try writing something up as a sort of rebuttal to the minority report.

So, I’ll be spending most of my evenings this week, when I would normally be writing this blog, writing about budget referenda.