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Big night at Drinking Liberally

By far the biggest night we’ve had. Over 30 people according to my wife’s count. Here we are drinking liberally:

And here we are, or some of us, watching the debate:

A quick observation about the debate. Had she been anyone else but Sarah Palin, Sarah Palin would have been mocked for her performance tonight. However, since there was the possibility that she would literally talk in tongues, her performance will be hailed, at least by the media. Expectations were so low that being atrocious was a triumph.

Bill Maher plugs his movie

Bill Maher talks about his new movie on the Daily Show. The entire interview below, split into two parts. It is great to see a movement to re-legitimize reason in this country.

Bailout bill gets worse

Some interesting comments on the bailout from Dean Baker:

While all right-thinking people might know we need the bailout, just about all right-thinking people don’t have a clue as to what they are talking about.

The Great Depression story is of course the most extreme case. No one has yet sketched out the sequence of events that will give us ten years of double-digit unemployment. But hey, if the scare story helps get the bailout passed — and gets those uneducated skeptics in the hinterlands to buy it — why not talk about the Great Depression?

I was on a talk show today in which one of the other guests (a representative of the security industry trade group) told listeners that you can’t get a mortgage unless you put 30-40 percent down. This is of course total garbage (the interest rate on 30-year fixed rate mortgages is a very low 6.0 percent) and the vast majority of loans are being made with 10-20 percent down, but lying for Wall Street is no sin.

The host of the show was appalled to find that neither I, nor the other in-studio guest, supported the bailout. At one point he became exasperated and told me that because companies can’t get access to credit they might have to lay off workers. He told me that United and GM may have to begin laying off workers next month if the credit squeeze doesn’t ease.

Of course if United and GM actually do lay off workers, the credit squeeze will be a very small part of the story. The airline and auto industry face really big problems for reasons that have nothing to do with the credit squeeze, although paying higher interest rates on borrowing clearly does not help.

It is remarkable how the contemptuous comments that the elites have directed at the masses for opposing the bailout can be so much more accurately directed back at themselves. In fear and anger they have embraced a bailout that makes little sense in the context of the economic crisis facing the country. Rather than listening people who actually understand the economy (I doubt a single economist in the country believes that the bailout is the best way to help the economy) they have shouted down and shut out critics of the bailout and have been willing to spread all manner of outlandish scare stories to advance their case.

After I read this article at work I emailed a link home with some notes to the effect that at this point the Democrats could do one of three things with the failed bill (other than just forget it, which isn’t in the cards):

1. Try to get the original bill passed;

2. Try to win additional Republican votes by making the bill even worse;

3. Make it a Democratic bill by vastly improving it and telling the Republican President that he can take it or leave it.

By the time I got home I found that they had, quite predictably, taken option 2, so what little suspense there was on the question was removed. Of course, with a choice like that we know what the Democrats will always do.

I hope Joe Courtney sticks to his gun. By any measure this bill is worse than the one he voted against.

Absolutely amazing

I wonder if she asked her if she ever read a book:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRkWebP2Q0Y[/youtube]

The leader

Great video of McCain and his surrogates taking credit for passing a bill that later failed. When will they turn on a dime and announce that McCain was not involved at all and Obama injected himself into the process and screwed it up. Actually, they started on the latter part right away.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H7AagvQA7lc[/youtube]

Dubious Achievement Award

Bush is going to sweep the table. There will be not a single facet of American life that has improved in the time he has been president. The stock market closed today down for Bush’s term.

Joe Courtney votes against the bailout

Anyone on Joe’s email list, which probably includes most of my readers, knows by now that Joe Courtney voted against the bailout, since he sent an email to announce his vote. You can verify it here, and yes, if you follow the link, the bailout legislation was attached to a bill:

To Amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to Provide Earnings Assistance and Tax Relief to Members of the Uniformed Services, Volunteer Firefighters, and Peace Corps Volunteers, and for Other Purposes

In my humble opinion it was the right thing to do. It hurts to say it, in a way, because the majority of Republicans voted against it. As to them, they did the right thing for the wrong reasons, but that’s what strange bedfellows are all about.

I suspect that Joe got the all clear from the leadership on this. It looks like there was a deal for blame sharing, with each side to deliver enough votes to make it a bi-partisan bill, while still allowing for anyone perceived as vulnerable to vote against it. The Democrats delivered, the Republicans did not, leaving John McCain, who took credit this morning for passing a bill that later failed, looking like an idiot again. His people are spinning madly to blame Obama for the failure of House Republicans to vote for the bill, but even the media isn’t falling for it.

Update: I should have excerpted Joe’s reasons for voting against the bailout. Also, it looks like I may have gotten the email because I emailed to his office to oppose the bailout, so maybe you won’t get something if you’re on his regular campaign list. Anyway: the excerpt:

Despite the best efforts of Congressional Leaders to improve the unprecedented request from the Bush Administration for a $700 billion blank check for Wall Street, I believe the Financial Rescue Package fell short of effectively addressing America’s financial crisis. I voted against the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008.

I stand ready at any time to work with my colleagues to forge a better, more effective, and more responsible legislative proposal that can gain the majority support of Congress. We can and we will move beyond the current impasse to seek a solution that makes sense for the future of our nation.

The stubborn refusal of Bush Administration to include a meaningful solution to the home-mortgage foreclosure crisis in the final version of the bill means that the underlying cause of this financial disaster will continue unabated. I could not in good conscience vote to borrow $700 billion in taxpayer money for a plan that did not stem the downward spiral in the real estate market, nor invest in economic stimulus that would help struggling middle class families.

Lastly, the final round of negotiations undermined Congressional efforts to limit CEO compensation and to pay for this measure responsibly.

My vote does not reflect any feelings of complacency about the state of our economy; far from it. The threat to our economy and our banking and credit systems is real and it is serious. We are now facing the repercussions of yet another disaster, inflicted by the stubborn opposition to meaningful oversight by many leaders, including President Bush and those who controlled Congress in the nineties. I look forward to joining my colleagues in establishing new and carefully considered regulation. That needs to be done, and will be a priority of Congress no matter the final outcome of the current credit crisis.

I appreciate the valiant efforts of Congressional leaders, who demanded and won significant improvements in the original package. Unfortunately their efforts fell short in producing a measure that I — and the taxpayers of eastern Connecticut — could support. We now look to our next steps to further improve on this proposal.

Shorter Maureen Dowd

Barack Obama lost the debate because he didn’t spew snark like I would have done.

Except, Maureen, he won.

The debate

Apparently, the conventional wisdom is coalescing around the idea that Obama was the winner last night, though maybe it’s just the blogs I read. Immediately after it appeared to me that the media was working overtime to make it a McCain win. I always hearken back to the Bensten-Quayle debate at times like that. The media immediately called it for the empty head from Indiana, but the public saw it differently. In the course of a few days the media’s initial take went down the memory hole, and everyone agreed Quayle looked like a fool.

I thought Obama won flat out, but then I tend to judge these things on who is telling the truth, who makes the most sense, etc., all of which, as the media will tell you, are in fact totally irrelevant, unless it’s Al Gore forgetting with FEMA official accompanied him to Texas.

I have to admit that there were times during the debate that I became frustrated at Obama’s reluctance to clobber McCain. For instance, McCain railed against an earmark from Montana that went to studying the DNA of some creature, an earmark remarkably similar to one sought by his vice presidential candidate. It seemed like a softball to Obama right in the strike zone, but he took the pitch. There were a couple of other times when McCain left similar openings. Upon reflection, however, I think Obama knows what he’s doing. He came across as statesmanlike and measured. In any event, it probably makes sense for him to be himself, and he just doesn’t appear to be the kind of guy who really likes to go for the jugular.

I found it interesting that women seemed more attuned to McCain’s condescending attitude toward Obama, and were more turned off by it. Let us hope that Biden is made aware of that and that he makes an effort to be respectful toward Palin. Better to let her destroy herself.

Finally, I thought it was great that Obama got in the dig about Spain, after having to deal with McCain’s continuous mischaracterizations about his willingness to negotiate with Iran. McCain painted himself into a corner on that one. He never meant to say he wouldn’t talk to Spain, but since Republicans cannot admit error, he has adopted it as official policy.

Brilliant

Who could have known?

From this morning’s Times:

“The last six months have made it abundantly clear that voluntary regulation does not work,” [SEC Chairman Cox} said in a statement. The program “was fundamentally flawed from the beginning, because investment banks could opt in or out of supervision voluntarily. The fact that investment bank holding companies could withdraw from this voluntary supervision at their discretion diminished the perceived mandate” of the program, and “weakened its effectiveness,” he added.

Just another one of those things that no one could have known. The Bush Administration has been afflicted with these kinds of situations. Who could have known occupying a country in the Middle East could cause problems? Who could have known that Osama bin Laden was determined to strike in the U.S.? Who could have known that hurricanes cause major damage? Who could have known that putting the foxes in charge of the hen coop could result in a lot of dead hens?