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New London escapes the rain

Last night we went to a friend’s house to view the New London Sailfest fireworks. She lives quite close to Fort Griswold, the ideal place, on this side of the river, to view the display. The fact that they happened at all was a bit of a miracle. All day the forecast was for rain, but all day, according to Weatherbug’s maps, New London and Groton appeared to occupy a privileged point, with rain all around us, but never falling on us. In truth, there were a couple of drops at various points in the day, but despite forecasts of a 93% chance of rain, we got nary a drop during the fireworks. From a selfish point of view it worked out great, the forecasts held down the crowds, so we didn’t have to wait so long for the traffic to clear after it was over.

I took the video below from the eastern section of the Fort Griswold grounds. Every once in a while you can see the flag flying at the fort, lit up by the rocket’s red (or white, blue, or green) glare.

Fireworks appear to be far more scientific than they once were . This display consisted entirely, it seemed to me, of fireworks launched in tandem, which exploded in nearly identical bursts. All well and good, but for reasons I refuse to countenance as valid (assuming they exist) gone are those occasional and deeply satisfying ear splitting, window shaking, infant scaring booms that used to be a regular feature of a good fireworks display. Presumably, they have gotten even the noise under control.

I had to cut this down to less than 10 minutes to fit youtube’s requirements, but the fact is that I only had to cut about five minutes, and I filmed almost the whole thing.


Hope for the rest of us

According to the New York Times, the rich are defaulting on their mortgages at a greater rate than the rest of us:

The housing bust that began among the working class in remote subdivisions and quickly progressed to the suburban middle class is striking the upper class in privileged enclaves like this one in Silicon Valley.

Whether it is their residence, a second home or a house bought as an investment, the rich have stopped paying the mortgage at a rate that greatly exceeds the rest of the population.

More than one in seven homeowners with loans in excess of a million dollars are seriously delinquent, according to data compiled for The New York Times by the real estate analytics firm CoreLogic.

By contrast, homeowners with less lavish housing are much more likely to keep writing checks to their lender. About one in 12 mortgages below the million-dollar mark is delinquent.

Though it is hard to prove, the CoreLogic data suggest that many of the well-to-do are purposely dumping their financially draining properties, just as they would any sour investment.

“The rich are different: they are more ruthless,” said Sam Khater, CoreLogic’s senior economist.

No doubt this means that stiffing the bank will soon become a patriotic act. Who knows, Congress may feel some pressure to rethink it’s bankruptcy position.Certainly there was no reason to let the riff-raff be able to do a cram down on their hovels, like the rich have always been able to do on second homes. But if this article is true, it puts the issue in a whole new light.


Friday Night Music

It’s hot out there. Watch them all, or sample.

Summertime, first Janis, then Ella.

You need to be a certain age to remember this one: Mungo Jerry, In the Summertime.

No live versions from the Lovin’ Spoonful, but Joe Cocker does a great job on Summer in the City.

And finally, it really is Too Darn Hot, though I really think this fellow would burn fewer calories pitching the woo than he does in this clip. This is the 2002 UK cast of Kiss Me Kate.

UPDATE: I forgot this:


George Bush is overrated

Despite attempts by some die hards to salvage his faded glory, George Bush’s reputation, at least among historians, is not good. According to a poll of presidential historians, George W. Bush is the fifth worst president ever. I would like to demur. George is being deprived of his due, in my humble opinion. There’s no way that there were four presidents worse than him. The historians have missed the mark.

Perhaps it’s the criteria employed, such as intelligence (George rises to second worst on that score), some of which are not only subjective (e.g., communication ability), given that we don’t, for instance, have IQ scores available, but fail to take the times into account. In fact, some, like “communication ability” have almost no relevance to the early presidents.

I would suggest that the most important criteria, also perhaps subjective, for judging the worst should be this: which president did the most harm.

Now, this criteria does disadvantage modern presidents, but I think that’s fair. Sure Pierce and Buchanan were horrible presidents, bit they governed at a time of strong Congresses, weak presidents, and a fairly limited range available for presidential harm. Sure, they stood by and let things come to a head, civil war wise, but the sad fact is that the war was going to come, whatever they did and had they tried to do anything we would today consider laudable, they would merely have hastened the war. They caused no harm, though they may have hastened it or been blind to its inevitable coming.

Bush, on the other hand, was perhaps the most powerful president in history. He got virtually every piece of legislation he wanted, except the destruction of social security. He arrogated gobs of power to himself, with virtually no legislative pushback. No one stood in his way. He bestrode the world like a Colossus, and then shit on it He wreaked destruction on constitutional norms, norms of international law, the national and world economies, and the country of Iraq, and that’s just naming the big stuff. When you delve into the small stuff (relatively speaking)-stacking the bureaucracy with corporate flunkies, politicizing the Justice Department, etc, you find that he wreaked destruction wherever he trod. Given the world wide scope and the all pervasiveness of the harm he caused, and the enormity of that harm, one must conclude that he is at least the second worst president ever.

The only reasonable contender to grab the laurels from him is Andrew Johnson. Johnson was a staunch Union man from a Southern state. That’s why he was chosen as vice president in 1864, perhaps the worst decision Lincoln ever made, because Johnson was also a thoroughgoing racist. It is possible, just possible, that had he not attempted to obstruct Reconstruction at every turn, the history of the races in this country might have been different. But I doubt it. There were powerful forces at work that would, inevitably, have handed the South back to the racists. At worst, Johnson merely hastened that day.

Bush did it all by himself. He was not the catspaw of historical forces. He was not swept along by events. He blithely took the lead, and let the country and the world to perdition. So in my book, while Andy Johnson certainly merits consideration, Bush takes the palm. Worst ever.


Feeling empathy

Too hot to think.

Now I know what it’s like to be a Republican.


The Glorious Fourth

My wife is a member of the Groton Federation of Democratic Women. Every year that illustrious group (average age 75, my wife is a youngster) sponsors a “float” (read: decorated truck) at the annual Groton Fourth of July Parade. Being unqualified for membership in that august organization, I am unable to man (woman?) the float, but I do come along to help get things ready.

This year, my main job was giving Barack Obama a spine. I explained to my wife, who defends him with the tenacity of a bull dog, that he really did need one. Even she admitted she wondered whether he would “bend with the wind”. As you can see below, I did in fact implant the spine, consisting of the Groton sign from the recent convention, which, along with a liberal use of duct tape did the trick and kept him standing tall throughout the parade, as you can see in the second picture.

I am informed he was generally well received by the crowd. Here are some of the ladies broiling in the sun, doing yeowoman’s work for the Democrats:

This year’s Grand Marshal was Barbara Tarbox, seen below, our newly retired Town Clerk, and faithful Drinking Liberally liberal drinker.

Part of my job is to take pictures, meaning I have to actually watch the parade, a much more onerous duty than participating in it. This year I had yet another new camera (believe me, I have a perfectly good rationale for getting it) to fool around with, so that helped relieve the boredom. Now, I think I can claim to be at least a competent photographer, but I freely admit that my skills as a cinematographer are sadly lacking. Nonetheless, I decided to try my hand at film, and boil the parade down to its essence by removing all the boring parts. Herewith what remains, almost eight minutes out of roughly two hours of tedium. I have removed, as it says in the unreadable opening title, all the firetrucks, ambulances, cops, politicians, and old people in cars, along with a lot of other truly boring stuff. Among the lowlights that never even made it into the camera, not to mention the cutting room floor, was the tea party contingent.

A reasonable argument can be made that this video is still too long by about 7 minutes, but in my humble opinion parades, especially Fourth of July parades, should feature marching bands, particularly fife and drum corps, so that’s what you’re getting, along with the Flock Theatre, which always put on a wonderfully bizarre show, and the Society for Creative Antiquity, about which the same can be said.

I’m pretty happy, by the way, with the performance of the camera, an Olympus EP-1. It’s primarily a camera, but takes decent video, though the “continuous focus” mode is sometimes a bit slow on the uptake.

UPDATE: A commenter pointed out that I misidentified the Society for Creative Anachronism. I can only plead fatigue.


Michael Steele does the Unforgiveable

Poor Michael Steele.

Throughout his tenure as RNC Chair he has earned a reputation for saying things that are both untrue AND politically embarrassing for the Republicans. That combination has made his tenure uncertain, since while Republicans have no problem with spreading untruths, they prefer to make political capital from them.

How ironic then, that Steele may have self administered the coup de grace by delivering himself of a statement that was mostly true, yet even more politically embarrassing for that very reason.

Steele came here to our little section of Groton (I was not invited, for reasons I can’t fathom) and made two points. The first was that the Afghanistan conflict was a “war of Obama’s choosing” and the second was to the effect that the war was unwinnable, something, he said, any student of history should realize.

The members of his party are calling for his head, not so much for the first statement, which is arguably inaccurate, but for the second, which is absolutely true.

As a matter of historical fact Obama did not start the conflict in Afghanistan. But he did choose to prove his tough guy credentials during his presidential campaign by declaring that it was, in effect, the “good war” and that he would win it, whatever that means in context, if elected. It was one of the two or three promises he made that I devoutly hoped he would discard once elected, but along with his other sop to the ignorant, support for off shore drilling, he has kept that promise, or tried to do so, to his and our detriment.

That’s the assertion for which Steele is taking heat from the press, because as a matter of concrete fact, he is wrong. In a broader sense, he’s right.

But, as I said, it is his claim that the war cannot be won that most riles his fellow Republicans. The proper formulation, according to them, is that the war can be won, but not by Obama, thereby implying that we must remain in that god forsaken hell hole, pouring borrowed money into a losing effort (no problem with non-stimulative deficit spending for this worthy cause), until at least 2013, when they fantasize Obama will be replaced by a Republican, who will then proceed to “win”. For the sin of speaking truth on this point, Steele may well lose his job.

So, let us pause for a moment of silence for poor Michael Steele, a career of lying destroyed by a single moment of truth.

Friday Night Fourth of July Music-And More!

This goes up early, since we have company coming.

This being the Fourth of July Weekend, it’s only appropriate that we feature our National Anthem, in this case memorably performed by Marvin Gaye:

Now, if you think Marvin drew that out a bit, he can’t hold a candle to the late Bleeding Gums Murphy, who performed the song on the Simpsons:

I understand that Bleeding Gums actually had an edge on Marvin in terms of drawing out the song, since he had access to the missing verses discussed here:


Andrew Sullivan will not give up

When the story first surfaced I was intrigued by the Sarah Palin Trig story. As you may recall, there was some speculation that the baby was not hers, given the disappearance of her daughter from public view in the months before the birth, and the bizarre story of the baby’s delivery-which included a trek on Sarah’s part from Texas to Wasila to have the baby-after her water broke.

I am leery of buying into a conspiracy theory, which this whole thing resembles, but the fascinating part of the story is that the truth, at least as Sarah tells it, is so improbable that one must seek for alternate explanations. The problem is that there is no explanation that makes any sense, unless Sarah’s daughter gave birth one day and proceeded to get herself pregnant again within hours of her delivery.

Andrew Sullivan has been on this story since Palin was nominated, and he refuses to give up. On Monday he wrote an interesting post about why the issue matters, and it’s well worth reading. The real story, according to Sullivan, is not so much that Palin is obviously lying, but that the national press, to a man and woman, declared the story off limits from the start, despite the strong stench of something rotten at the heart of it all:

But in many ways, my real frustration here is not with Palin, who has behaved in ways that are rational for a gambler of such proportions. My frustration is with the media who have never questioned, let alone seriously investigated, the story, and who have actually gone further and vouched for its truthfulness and accuracy without any independent confirmation. I know why. It was because they wanted, as the WaPo ombudsman put it, to avoid any further damage to the mainstream media “among conservatives who believe it is not properly attuned to their ideology or activities.”

That’s why the Washington Post actually operated as an extension of the McCain campaign against the press in the last election, through the Republican sock-puppet, Howie Kurtz. So my issue here is of the same kind as my issue with how the MSM missed the Hastings scoop. They are simultaneously in bed with the powerful and afraid of the masses. So they end up in this ghastly middle.

But there has been no press scrutiny. In fact, there has been enormous pressure from the press not to investigate the story and to mock anyone who does so. No MSM interviewer of Palin has ever asked a single question about the bizarre stories that Palin has told about her political prop – not Oprah, not Couric, not Gibson, not anyone. Newsweek has reprinted minute details of Palin’s story as fact with no independent confirmation but Palin’s own words. No MSM newspaper has asked for or demanded easily available proof of the pregnancy and birth – except the Anchorage Daily News, after the election, which prompted Palin not to quietly offer proof to an editor keen to put the entire controversy to rest, but to explode in rage.

I won’t go over the “facts” that simply make no sense, Sullivan does a bit of that in his article, and you can easily find more detail in the many posts he’s written on the subject. Despite my own aversion to conspiracy theories, I can’t help believing there is something not quite right about this story. I just wish I could even imagine where the truth lies, since none of the alternate theories make any more sense, practically or biologically, than the utter nonsense we have been asked to believe by Palin. Maybe I’m just not very imaginative. In all events I agree with Sullivan that the press should have pushed on this and made life a little uncomfortable for Sarah.


Turning down something for nothing

If you’ve been reading Paul Krugman’s column, and more especially, his blog, you know that he has been decrying the fact that the G-20 countries have embarked on an austerity drive, just when running up deficits is precisely what the doctor ordered. Here’s his latest.

It does seem counterintuitive to think that you can get yourself out of a depression by spending money like a drunken sailor. In a manner of speaking, we could repair our crumbling infrastructure, rescue our foundering states, get ourselves on the path to a sustainable energy future, and educate our kids, all while achieving the laudable goal of putting our friends and neighbors to work and pulling ourselves out of a depression, while assuring that the eventual deficit will be less than it would be if we practice austerity. It sounds too good to be true, but the strange thing is that it’s not.

And yet, as Krugman keeps reminding us, the so called experts who got us into this mess can’t bring themselves to do what’s required, not because the stimulus spending to date has caused problems, but because it might, at some distant point in the future, do so, despite evidence in the form of the nation of Ireland that austerity just causes more problems. Better to inflict pain (always on other people of course) than to do what economic theory suggests. (I should amend that to say that it is what the only flavor of economic theory that has been consistently right suggests).

One would be tempted to believe that this is solely caused by a puritanical streak in our lords and masters, but on closer reflection, that’s just not so. We’re told that deficits are evil, but it depends on what you do with the borrowed money, apparently. They think nothing of running up huge, and often off-book deficits, in order to flush money down the toilet to fight counter-productive wars. We get a negative return on that investment, and since so much of the money is spent elsewhere, very little in the way of stimulus. And it’s not like they are repelled at the thought of getting something for nothing. In fact, they insist that you can get something for nothing: increased governmental revenues and economic bliss through tax cuts, always disproportionately for the rich, no matter the circumstances, despite the fact that the experiment has been tried and it has failed repeatedly since Saint Ronald got his tax cut in 1981. We are still hearing demands for precisely that kind of tax cut, and if the Republicans take over, no doubt they’ll insist on passing one again, which Obama will sign in a magnanimous show of bi-partisanship.

So, one must ask, why are the folks, who all over the world, but particularly here, are not adverse to deficits, and not morally opposed to something for nothing, draw the line at letting the “small people” get something for nothing too? Maybe that question answers itself.