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Worth looking into

I have gotten a number of posts on my Bluesky account stating that the 2024 election was stolen, and I’ve pretty much ignored them, though I continue to believe that it is quite possible that our future elections may become somewhat like those in Russia, with the outcome predetermined.

But I give this story a bit more credence:

Walter Mebane is a professor of political science at the University of Michigan. He is a leading expert on detecting voter fraud, having dedicated much of his career to developing statistical techniques for doing so.

He was asked to do a close analysis of the voting in the Pennsylvania presidential election, and his conclusions are to say the least disturbing:

[Details at the link]

In summary:

There is very high probability that a meaningful number of votes in the PA presidential election were subject to malevolent manipulation — and it was “a close call” whether “the election was decided or nearly decided by malevolent distortions of electors’ intentions.” (Mebane, Page 6)

As the author at Lawyers, Guns and Money points out “EAIAC is the single most powerful explanatory principle of the entire Trump era” (I’ll translate: Every Accusation Is A Confession).

That being the case, one would hope that a Pennsylvania prosecutor might look into this and see if further evidence develops. It’s obviously the case that the DOJ would have no interest in doing so. If we are to save our elections at all it’s going to require vigilance on the part of state authorities, because national Republicans are fine with election thefts, as long as they are the beneficiaries.

I should make it clear that I’m not asserting that there was a theft in Pennsylvania, but assuming Mebane knows what he’s doing, it is worth investigating further.

UPDATE: There appears to be serious questions about the methodology Melbane used in his analysis of the voting records. More here.

Enabling fascism is not a good thing

At least neither of the Connecticut Senators were there.

SCOTUS destroys public schools

Today the Supreme Court ruled that bigots can control what is taught in public schools by claiming that they don’t want to have their children exposed to ideas that contradict the “religious principles” that they themselves are inflicting on their children. As Justice Sotomayor put it:

Today’s ruling ushers in a new reality. Casting aside longstanding precedent, the Court invents a constitutional right to avoid exposure to “subtle” themes “contrary to the religious principles” that parents wish to instill in their children. …Exposing students to the “message” that LGBTQ people exist, and that their loved ones may celebrate their marriages and life events, the majority says, is enough to trigger the most demanding form of judicial scrutiny.

She goes on to predict the inevitable result, which one can only conclude the court fully intends to happen:

Worse yet, the majority closes its eyes to the inevitable chilling effects of its ruling. Many school districts, and particularly the most resource strapped, cannot afford to engage in costly litigation over opt-out rights or to divert resources to tracking and managing student absences. Schools may instead censor their curricula, stripping material that risks generating religious objections. The Court’s ruling, in effect, thus hands a subset of parents the right to veto curricular choices long left to locally elected school boards.

One can have “religious principles” about things other than the LGBTQ community. There are those on the right who are claiming that both the Framers and god intended that this be a country by and for white men. I wonder how Clarence Thomas will feel about parents demanding that their children not be exposed to the idea that black people are not inferior to white people. Actually, given his record, maybe he wouldn’t mind. And I’m sure RFK Jr. would be on board if schools were forbidden to teach that vaccines can prevent disease, since it would mean exposing his followers to themes that would be contrary to their principles.

A few weeks ago (I think it was a few weeks ago, couldn’t find the link) I read an article about some liberal parents using one of those state laws intended to allow right wingers to control curricula to stop right wing propaganda in the schools by claiming it violated their religious beliefs. I suppose that’s a tactic that might be tried to combat this opinion, but I’m sure that Roberts and his fellow fascists would find a way to tactfully explain that their decision only applies to people with whom they agree or who are backers of the politicians with whom they agree. That is something the press always fails to note about these cases. They always leave room to make an exception to their decisions if the person or entity that might benefit is a Democrat, a person on the left, or a non-Christian. After all, I very much doubt that a religious principle held by a Muslim would be entitled to the same deference as that given to a self described Christian, bearing in mind that if the school system actually attempted to advocate stuff that Christ advocated, like loving your neighbors, etc., those very “Christians” would be the first to object.

UPDATE: A reader (Some people actually still read this blog) sent me a link to an article discussing the Oklahoma case to which I was referring in the last paragraph of this post. It’s not the same article I read, but it’s about the same case and it’s interesting that the person responsible for the law allowing right wing parents to shape curricula is trying to find a way to make it impossible for sane people to do the same. Really he can just sit back and let Roberts, Alito, Thomas, Barrett, Kavenaugh and Gorsuch do it for him.

Some good news out of New York

The results are in from the New York mayoral primary, and not only have the voters of New York rejected Andrew Cuomo, they have chosen Zohran Mamdani, a progressive previously endorsed by Bernie and AOC. He’s someone the Democratic establishment, which has been so very successful at failing to find a message that appeals to the American people, opposed. If he wins they may have to accept the fact that it’s time to face a new reality if we’re going to successfully beat back the fascists. You know, the people the Democratic establishment thinks are no different than Republicans were in 1964 or thereabouts.

I’m personally proud of the fact that Mamdani is an alum of my own Alma Mater, which has made a point of promoting DEI, but is too small to be on Trump’s radar.

Republicans are claiming to be salivating at the prospect of making him the villain they can campaign against, and the press is, of course, going to push that narrative to a great extent, but I don’t think it will work. Unlike establishment Dems, people like Mamdani know how to get their message out, and it’s a message that will work.

Not all of us geezers are blind to the new reality. This from a fundraising email from Bernie Sanders:

And what Zohran’s victory proved to me is that when people have something to vote for rather than just vote against, when we prioritize organizing and mobilizing, our progressive agenda can win against even the longest of odds.

This, from No More Mister Nice Blog says it well:

The connection between this and yesterday’s primary results in New York is that millions of Americans want to believe that someone is fighting to change the direction of our politics. Mamdani won because he gave Democratic primary voters in New York a reason to hope that the same old evil bastards might not run everything forever. National Democrats need to give the rest of America a sense that another world is possible. They need to be bold and defiant and take actions that are visceral and compelling, even if they’re risky. They don’t necessarily need to have the charisma of Mamdani — Chris Van Hollen is a soft-spoken senator, but his trip to see Kilmar Abrego Garcia changed the immigration narrative, forced Abrego Garcia’s repatriation, and began the process of pushing Trump’s poll numbers on immigration underwater. More like that, please.

This argument makes sense, since just a couple of weeks ago the well funded and business backed Andrew Cuomo had a substantial polling advantage. New Yorkers must have liked what they heard from Mamdani. They would undoubtedly like hearing something similar from Dems nationwide if only the Dems would get together and hone their message.

Random rant

I’ve been writing this blog for more than 20 years now. In the beginning it was easy, because even though there were terrible things going on at times, there was still some grounds for optimism. Times have changed, and not only are current events scary and depressing, the points to be made are so obvious that it hardly seems worth pointing them out. I mean, Trump and his minions are fascists. That’s obvious to everyone except the mainstream media and the Trumpers themselves, who always find a way to convince themselves that they voted for whatever Trump decides to do, even when its a one hundred and eighty degree turn from what he told them he would do. Latest case in point is the fact that they’re all lining up to support his unconstitutional war

One thing that is true is that so much comes down at once that we often miss the forest for the trees. A case in point is the recent Supreme Court ruling that essentially let Trump deport people without due process, even after the Supreme Court itself had ruled in another case that such people are entitled to due process. The case was decided on the shadow docket, an innovation largely begun by the current Supreme Court, which allows them to issue decisions that fly in the face of settled law without giving reasons.

There was, of course, only a faint possibility that the court would do its duty and take on Trump’s criminality, but it was the only hope we had, as there was no chance that Congress would do so. John Roberts has tried to promote himself as someone who cares about the court as an institution, but this recent decision shows that one push comes to shove, he’ll join the out and out fascists and cave.

It’s amusing that Sotomayor, in her dissent, gave the lower court judge a rationale for essentially ignoring the Supreme Court’s ruling, for he has used her dissent to rule that his orders remain in effect:

Judge Brian E. Murphy: ELECTRONIC ORDER ENTERED. Plaintiffs’ Emergency Motion, Dkt. 174, is DENIED as unnecessary, subject to the below. The Court’s May 21, 2025 Order on Remedy, Dkt. 119, remains in full force and effect, notwithstanding today’s stay of the Preliminary Injunction. DHS v. D.V.D., No. 24A1153, slip op. at 12 (S. Ct. Jun. 23, 2025) (Sotomayor, J., dissenting) (“[T]he District Court’s remedial orders [were] not properly before [the Supreme] Court because the Government has not appealed them, nor sought a stay pending a forthcoming appeal.”). For the avoidance of doubt, and to the extent Plaintiffs N.M. and D.D. are indeed subject to third-country removal, see Dkt. 175 at 5-7, N.M. and D.D. are included among the individuals referenced in the May 21, 2025 Order. (BAH) Modified on 6/23/2025 (PK). (Entered: 06/23/2025)

Don’t expect the Court to allow this. They’ll issue another order.

In any event we now know that the court will do what it can to accommodate the dictator.

No King’s Day in Vermont

My wife and I attended the demonstration here in Chester, Vermont, where we have a second home, mostly used by our kids, but we’re there this weekend. I enjoy taking pictures of the creative signs people come up with, and everyone is willing to have their pictures taken to show off their signs. The official count was 570 anti-Trumpers and 1 counter protestor, who was mainly ignored or silently mocked.

A short slideshow of the signs and folks in the mostly aging hippie crowd. (It is Vermont after all). The software I used to make it leaves something to be desired. I couldn’t slow it down but it is what it is.

Two criminals going after one another

Everyone (well, everyone who counts) is getting a kick out of the end of the Trump/Musk bromance, though who knows how it will all end up. It was likely that there’d be at least a temporary parting of the ways, since they each have outsize egos, but you have to wonder if there will eventually be a reconciliation, when they each decide that there’s something more they can get out of each other. In that case, the Ministry of Truth over at Fox will get busy, and we’ll discover that they never had a disagreement in the first place, though now they’re spinning an ever more outrageous lie: Trump can’t be bought!

I think I’ve mentioned before that I will never forget a line uttered by Robert Vaughan as he played the bad guy, an evil capitalist (aren’t they all?) in one of the Superman movies:

It is not enough that I succeed, everyone else must fail.

It certainly encapsulates the attitude of both of them. After all, when Musk complained about the Republican bill, it wasn’t the tax breaks for billionaires he was complaining about. It didn’t take enough from everyone else.

Trump has it within his power to make Musk come crawling. He could have Musk prosecuted for one or more of the many crimes Musk committed while he was making sure that everyone else would fail, something that he’s sub silentio threatened to do.. That would require Trump to implicitly admit that his underling was operating a criminal operation in plain sight, but again, the above named Ministry of Truth would consign that down the memory hole, and the other media would ignore it because after all, Joe Biden’s health is a far greater concern.

One thing this incident should teach Democrats is that they should constantly make fun of Trump. It gets under his skin and he inevitably, as a result, does things that undermines his standing with the public. That will come in handy if we’re allowed to have elections in the future. My guess is that one thing leading to his parting of the ways with Musk was the constant referrals to Musk as the acting president while Trump was merely the figurehead.

1984 all over again

This happened a few days ago, but I was in Vermont this weekend and too busy to write right away. Since no one reads this blog anyway I’ll just go ahead. As the title to the post indicates, this is yet another Trump era event that makes one thing again that George Orwell knew what he was writing about:Oklahoma is a red state that has favored the GOP in presidential elections since overwhelmingly backing Richard Nixon in 1968. Donald Trump won the state in 2020 and 2024, each time with over 65% of the vote. The Oklahoma Legislature is solidly Republican, and the governor and other statewide executive officers are all Republicans. All that said, Oklahomans are making headlines for their outrage at MAGA’s latest attempt at self-serving revisionist history. Parents, teachers, and other community members are pushing back hard against a new social studies curriculum that will cost taxpayers an estimated $33 million while forcing students to explore conspiracy theories about the 2020 election, as well as learn lessons grounded in Christian nationalism. Their demand for truth over nonsense in public education is fueling legal challenges and organized activism. State Superintendent Ryan Walters slipped in some extremist last-minute changes to an over 400-page curriculum mere hours before a scheduled vote, according to a Popular Information report. Most notably, these changes require students to spot “discrepancies” in the 2020 election, echoing language from debunked claims, including mail-in ballot “risks” and “sudden batch dumps.” Half the voting board members did not even realize the curriculum contained last-minute changes before their vote, as reported by Oklahoma Voice.

We have to remember that Winston Smith, the 1984 protagonist, didn’t spend all his time dumping the truth down the memory hole, he also spent time producing lies to feed to the folks who were under the heel of big brother. In fact, this short summary of the novel from Wikipedia sounds a lot like what’s happening today, doesn’t it?

The story takes place in an imagined future. The current year is uncertain, but believed to be 1984. Much of the world is in perpetual war. Great Britain, now known as Airstrip One, has become a province of the totalitarian superstate Oceania, which is led by Big Brother, a dictatorial leader supported by an intense cult of personality manufactured by the Party’s Thought Police. The Party engages in omnipresent government surveillance and, through the Ministry of Truth, historical negationism and constant propaganda to persecute individuality and independent thinking.

On the bright side, it’s good to see that there are folks, even in Oklahoma (after all, they’re not all loons out there) are fighting back, and it’s particularly rich that they’re using a law that was designed to help right wingers inject their version of religion into the schools. You know, the version of Christianity that tells you to love your neighbor as yourself, unless your neighbor is a different color, a different religion, a member of a different political party, etc., and also teaches that you should feed the hungry and provide shelter to the needy, it being understood of course that you’re talking about billionaires hungry for the food on the tables of the poor and needy for tax breaks so they can own as many houses as they want.

Got there first

A short time again I predicted that the federal government would quite likely start releasing fake statistics in the event the economy began to tank. Today, Paul Krugman predicted the same thing. I’d like to think that he got the idea from me, but for some reason I don’t think that’s likely.

The link is to his Substack. Subscribe to it. It is now the case that Substack may be the place to get the most informed news, as long as you’re properly selective about who you follow.

Hawley must be joshing

This post at Crooks & Liars interested me. Josh Hawley went on CNN and claimed to be totally against any Medicaid cuts. That’s not the surprising part. The surprising part is that John Amato, who wrote the post appears to believe that Hawley is serious.

You remember Josh, the guy who saluted the January 6th rioters and then…, well you remember that picture of him running away.

Now, it is somewhat possible that this is good news for the Democrats, because Republicans like Hawley want to be perceived as being against these Medicaid cuts, but I think it’s more probable that when push comes to shove, if they are in the bill that the Senate must vote on, he and all other Republicans will vote in favor (though Susan Collins will be concerned), and will either come up with some way to blame the Democrats for the cuts or claim that while they regretted the cuts, they simply had to vote for the bill because otherwise the government that has already fallen apart would fall apart.

So, I’m surprised Amato is willing to take Hawley’s statements at face value, though I’d be glad to learn I was wrong.