Couldn’t resist.
Okay, I'm not an economist, so I can't give you chapter and verse about why this does not bode well, but it seems to me that packaging derivatives to protect bitcoin investors just can't end well:
Coinbase now handles bitcoin transactions for more than 19,000 businesses and 750,000 individuals.
The tiny San Francisco startup offers various online services that help move the digital currency from place to place. At online retailer Overstock.com, for instance, Coinbase helps people buy stuff like patio furniture and smartphone cases using bitcoin. It lets online advertising outfit eZanga pay its partners in bitcoins. And it provides a service that lets people and businesses buy and sell the digital currency.
As a result, Coinbase holds an awful lot of bitcoin in its own digital wallets. That’s just part of efficiently moving the currency to and fro — and at this point, it’s a rather risky thing. As the world struggles to come to terms with this very new creation, the value of the digital currency is extremely volatile, with prices shifting as much as 25 percent in a matter of minutes.
Founders Brian Armstrong and Fred Ehrsam say the company runs complex software that monitors price fluctuations and responds almost instantly in an effort to avoid serious losses. But they also say Coinbase could benefit from something else, something that businesses so often use to protect themselves when they handle foreign currencies like euros and yen. They could use a derivatives market.
…
Derivatives markets have long played a role in the traditional economy. If you, say, sell a bunch of stuff to Germany and are paid in euros, you run the risk of the euro suddenly dropping in value relative to the dollar. In other words, when it comes time to spend them, your euros could be worth far less than when you received them. But you can protect yourself by purchasing something called a futures derivative — a financial instrument that pays you money if the value of the euro goes down. “It’s basically an insurance policy against fluctuations in exchange rates,” Posner says.
via Wired
Gee, what could possibly go wrong? I'm not sure what, in this context, the difference between derivatives and swaps might be, but if derivatives are basically insurance policies against fluctuations in rates, then, when it comes to bitcoins, there doesn't seem to be much difference. Basically, you are insuring against the collapse of a bubble, and we all know how well that worked for AIG, et. al. This is not, as the article implies, analagous to derivatives designed to protect against currency fluctuations. The dollar, for instance, is legal tender, and will have value as long as the United States exists,. It may go up or down against other currencies, but it must, by definition, always have value here. Bitcoins can, and probably will, lose every cent of their “value”.
At least at the moment, it appears that the too-big-to-fails aren't getting into the market, but if there's a dime to be made they will, since they know our dollars will be there if things go South.
The article doesn't say, so I'm left curious. If the bitcoin value does goes South, will these derivitaves pay off in dollars, or bitcoins?
An Appeals Court has just struck down the FCC's attempt to impose net neutrality. That ruling, and the rise of the app, may very well spell the end of the independent voices, such as your humble blogger, that have, to a some extent, managed to fight back against the now very much right wing mainstream media. (I do not wish to imply that I am a significant actor in that fight, but Kos, Josh Marshall and their ilk have certainly been a counterweight to a media that tows the corporate line, and the cumulative effect of us little guys cannot be denied.)
We get a bit of a preview of the brave new world that awaits us from an old media example, the Washington Post, which still rests on its Watergate laurels while serving the interests of the 1%:
American journalism has entered highly dangerous terrain. A tip-off is that the Washington Post refuses to face up to a conflict of interest involving Jeff Bezos – who’s now the sole owner of the powerful newspaper at the same time he remains Amazon’s CEO and main stakeholder. The Post is supposed to expose CIA secrets. But Amazon is under contract to keep them. Amazon has a new $600 million “cloud” computing deal with the CIA.
The situation is unprecedented. But in an email exchange early this month, Washington Post executive editor Martin Baron told me that the newspaper doesn’t need to routinely inform readers of the CIA-Amazon-Bezos ties when reporting on the CIA. He wrote that such in-story acknowledgment would be “far outside the norm of disclosures about potential conflicts of interest at media organizations.”
But there isn’t anything normal about the new situation. As I wrote to Baron, “few journalists could have anticipated ownership of the paper by a multibillionaire whose outside company would be so closely tied to the CIA.”
The Washington Post’s refusal to provide readers with minimal disclosure in coverage of the CIA is important on its own. But it’s also a marker for an ominous pattern – combining denial with accommodation to raw financial and governmental power – a synergy of media leverage, corporate digital muscle and secretive agencies implementing policies of mass surveillance, covert action and ongoing warfare.
via Norman Solomon at Consortium News
Jeff Bezos may not seem like an evil man, but he does evil things behind his corporate mask. The demise of net neutrality will play perfectly into the hands of men like him, who think first, last and always of the dollar. We can expect that someday soon the only information we can get on the net will be the type of n ot-quite-propaganda we get from Bezo's Post: slanted to suit the needs of the 1% first, and the surveillance state thereafter.
Of course, it would be an easy matter for Congress to reverse the court's ruling.
Yes, I know. I'm laughing too.
Saturday morning my attention was drawn to an article in the Boston Globe about a couple who had just donated millions of dollars worth of art to Bowdoin College. I began to read the article only because Bowdoin is my alma mater. I assumed that the couple involved were rich alumni, or, given Bowdoin's history as a male college until the year I graduated, the husband was a rich alumni. But the story was far more interesting than that.
In fact, the headline was a little misleading; half of the couple is dead. It was Dorothy Vogel, Herbert Vogel's widow and his partner in art acquisition, that made the donation. Their story is truly inspiring:
Herbert, a postal clerk who never graduated from high school, and Dorothy, a reference librarian, used their modest income to acquire an estimated 5,000 artworks that Forbes.com once described as “worth incalculable amounts: hundreds of millions of dollars and climbing.”
The couple packed it all into their rent-stabilized, one-bedroom apartment in New York. Art filled closets and was piled under the bed and stacked high in boxes; they made room for more by clearing out a sofa and other furniture. Roaming around the artworks were several cats with names such as Manet and Renoir, and they had a menagerie of turtles and fish.
The Vogels ultimately gave most of the art away. But now the Bowdoin College Museum of Art has received a major gift of 320 works of contemporary art from the Dorothy and Herbert Vogel Collection, one of the most storied and significant collections of contemporary art in the United States. Nearly 70 artists are represented in that gift, including painters Julian Schnabel and Pat Steir and multimedia artist Richard Tuttle.
via The Boston Globe
They bought the art using his Post Office salary and lived on her income. They bought works by artists they knew and cultivated.
“Their collecting practice was very prescient. They managed to get in at the ground level with some of the most important artists of their day,” says Molly Donovan, curator of modern art at the National Gallery of Art.
So how cool is that?
And they did it all for love, it appears. They could have cashed in for millions, but they gave it all away, except for a few pieces Dorothy Vogel is keeping in case of financial emergency. Awe inspiring, really and I must say I'm proud they picked Bowdoin for their gift. Some small solace in light of the fact that we have Stanley Druckenmiller to live down.
I am a member of the board of an organization which is so pathetic that it recently elected me chair. In furtherance of my duties, I proposed to set up a shared Dropbox folder, which I attempted to do last night. I experienced difficulties sharing the folder. I did a bit of investigating and discovered to my dismay that the Dropbox service was down.
Now, this is a service that has been around for a while. This was not a question of start up woes like those that plagued HealthCare.gov. This inexplicable failure to provide perfect and bug free service is obvious proof that private enterprise is a total failure. This morning, the service is still down. This means that millions of people have been deprived of access to their files for at least 15 hours, a longer wait than that experienced on healthcare.gov. The only solution is to 1) force Dropbox to cease doing business; 2) abandon the entire idea of cloud based storage; and 3) dismantle the free enterprise system.
I mean, I even had to save this post to local storage on my Ipad instead of syncing to a dropbox folder as I normally would. This kind of torture can't go on.
I'm writing this now because I want to be first with this meme, as I'm sure the right wing, consistent as always, will be trumpeting capitalism's failure any minute now.
No question this week. Phil Everly died earlier this week, so the Everly Brothers it must be. They actually peaked slightly before my time, so in a sense I had to rediscover them. It really is a mystery why they couldn’t make the transition into the 60’s, given the influence they had on so many of the 60’s rockers.
Anyway, both of these videos are from 1983, when they reunited after a period of disharmony between them. But when they were together no one did harmony better. Case in point, Let It Be Me:
And they certainly did rock well:
So, it turns out that Chris Christie'e people deliberately caused a massive traffic jam in NJ, as political payback against the Fort Lee mayor. Sort of weird when you consider that theres really no use punishing someone while denying responsibility. Sort of undermines the message. It's a little like Tony Soprano arranging an accident that the victim thinks really was an accident. No lesson learned.
In any event, this has to be one of the stupidest political stunts in history. The worst scandal is one that everyone can understand. Lives there an adult American who cannot feel for those victimized by these crimes; has not experienced the frustration of stopped traffic; who does not instantly react with rage at the idea of anyone deliberately and needlessly inflicting such misery on unsuspecting innocents? Whether he knew (he did) or not, Christie will never get this behind him. Hurricane Sandy, his equivalent to Giuliani's “September 11”, will be quickly forgotten. He can kiss the presidency good-bye. We Dems should be rejoicing; this makes the nomination of an unelectable right wing clown all the more likely.
UPDATE: a commenter asks how I can be so sure that Christie knew. Well, of course it is possible he didn't, but it is overwhelmingly probable that he did. I cite the following: Chris Christie and Richard Nixon.
To elaborate:
Chris Christie is, by all accounts, including his own, a control freak. He is also an arrogant, self centered bastard. It beggars belief that his underlings would engage in a criminal conspiracy on his behalf without his explicit or implicit approval. This particular crime was entirely consistent with the Christie campaign's treatment of other Democratic mayors in the state, not to mention their suspicions that if they did not endorse, their cities would suffer retribution during Christie's second term.
This brings me to Nixon. Watergate was a case study in the techniques employed to abuse power, and the response to expect when the abuse is uncovered. If Christie did not know in advance, he learned soon enough thereafter, so he is guilty of a coverup, which as Nixon observed, is what usually brings you down. The circumstances were such that he could have remained in ignorance only by a determined refusal to learn the facts.
In my own humble opinion, since Watergate we have become so inured to infringements of civil liberties in this country that if another Republican President (remember the IOKIYAR rule) did the same thing, his big white ass would be perfectly safe. In this country, tying up traffic is a far worse crime than starting wars or torturing Muslims, and that's why Christie can't survive.
UPDATE TWO: Okay, just had the chance to browse my RSS feeds and it looks like Christie went the “determined refusal to learn the facts” route.
I'm currently making my way through Doris Kearns Goodwin's latest, The Bully Pulpit, a sort of dual political biography of Teddy Roosevelt and William Howard Taft. Without getting explicit, she's making a lot of points about our current situation. Among other things, she claims, and I think I agree, that one of Teddy's greatest accomplishments was persuading the American people that the federal government had a role to play in controlling the excesses of capitalism and in bettering the lives of its citizens.
Actually, he didn't have to persuade the American people, but he had to overcome the resistance of corporate America to the idea. Back then, at least so far as I can see from Goodwin's book, the forces of sheer idiocy (think tea party) were safely confined in the insane asylums.
Well, here we are 100 years later, and we're at it again. Unfortunately, we have yet to see an American president this century who has made the argument for government as forcefully and consistently as either Roosevelt, or, surprisingly, Taft. (He wasn't his son's intellectual father)
Anyway, here's further proof, if proof we need, that government can get things done, even when it is hampered by corporate and yahoo resistance:
The average amount of electricity consumed in U.S. homes has fallen to levels last seen more than a decade ago, back when the smartest device in people's pockets was a Palm pilot and anyone talking about a tablet was probably an archaeologist or a preacher.
Because of more energy-efficient housing, appliances and gadgets, power usage is on track to decline in 2013 for the third year in a row, to 10,819 kilowatt-hours per household, according to the Energy Information Administration.
That's the lowest level since 2001, when households averaged 10,535 kwh. And the drop has occurred even though our lives are more electrified.
…
In the early 2000s, as energy prices rose, more states adopted or toughened building codes to force builders to better seal homes so heat or air-conditioned air doesn't seep out so fast. That means newer homes waste less energy.
Also, insulated windows and other building technologies have dropped in price, making retrofits of existing homes more affordable. In the wake of the financial crisis, billions of dollars in Recovery Act funding was directed toward home-efficiency programs.
Big appliances such as refrigerators and air conditioners have gotten more efficient thanks to federal energy standards that get stricter ever few years as technology evolves.
…
Those incandescent light bulbs are being replaced with compact fluorescent bulbs and LEDs that use 70 to 80 percent less power. According to the Energy Department, widespread use of LED bulbs could save output equivalent to that of 44 large power plants by 2027.
via The Associated Press (Emphases added)
Now, imagine what government could do if it were not frustrated at every turn by Republican ignoramuses that insist that we will have to tear their incandescent bulbs out of their cold dead hands.
By the way, for those keeping track (and I know you're out there Barbara) this post doubles as a good news post.
Here's further proof, should anyone need it, that “privatizing” public functions often makes those services more expensive and lower quality.
For decades, citizens have been sold on the mantra that the hungry private sector can do a better and cheaper job of providing services than “inefficient” government. Now it is true that there were some badly run government entities that have done better when privatized (the poster child is British Telecom). But particularly on the state and local level, where voters demand a high level of accountability, this premise was always dubious.
First, as we’ve discussed at some length, outsourcing in the private sector often fails to deliver on their promises. But those dead bodies are seldom discussed. The fleeced buyer has every reason to hide the botched initiative. And they are often prohibited from discussing them: corporate IT projects, for instance, have non-disclosure provisions. As a result, CIO Magazine used a series of failed state outsourcing deals as a forensic exercise relevant to private sector, arguing that the problems were broadly the same.
But a new report by In the Public Interest, Out of Control: The Coast-to-Coast Failures of Outsourcing Public Services to For-Profit Corporations, shows why voter should regard outsourcing proposals with considerable skepticism. Remember, a corporate outsourcer will have to preform the same tasks as a government body would, plus he expected to recoup his selling/contracting costs and earn a profit margin. As we’ve seen with mortgage servicers, and the Out of Control confirms, one of the approaches used by private companies to meet their profit targets is to cut corners on compliance with the rules and with service levels. And when outsourcing is motivated not by ideology or a belief that savings can be achieved, but by service problems, all too often there’s reason to suspect that the legislation that the supposedly underperforming bureau is executing is cumbersome or poorly thought out. In other words, the problem is being treated as one of government execution, when it’s actually one of bad drafting or overly complicated requirements that won’t go away by fobbing them off to a private company.
via Naked Capitalism
Not surprisingly, many of these companies go the full Wal-Mart, and exact a hidden subsidy:
The report also reveals that one of the ways these contractors meet their targets is by effectively fobbing costs back on the state, by paying [workers] low wages that force them to rely on public services. in 2008, 80% of the employees working on Federal service contracts made less than a living wage; the level is likely to be similar for state and local contracts. And of course, this means that local governments, perversely, are sabotaging their economies by driving wages and hence demand and eventually their tax bases down.
This is not surprising, so I won't dwell on it more, but I think it helps illustrate a point I've tried to make before. Private companies are certainly good at making things, such as computers, etc., providing that they have competition. I would freely admit that we'd still be struggling with the “C:\” prompt if we had to rely on the government to develop our technology. But government is far superior at providing services. It provides social insurance, for instance, at lower cost and of greater value than private enterprise. The only innovations in which the insurance industry is interested are those that involve new ways to deny coverage. The principles of insurance are well known. It's math, pure and simple. I think we'll find, as we hand over our schools to private enterprise, that the same principle applies. There may be more room for innovation in education than in insurance, but any value added by such innovation will be more than overwhelmed by the harm that will be done to teachers and students alike by profit driven schools. We can see that in the for profit colleges, and we will get no different from for-profit (or pseudo non-profit) grammar schools. We might think we have, for we will no doubt be treated to endless propaganda about how much better our educational system is when we've reduced our teachers to powerless, underpaid and demoralized automatons. But that won't be the reality, no matter what the education CEOs and their bought politicians tell us, just as, despite the propaganda to the contrary, we never have and never will get a decent health care system based on a private insurance model.
This feature is becoming occasional only, as it becomes harder and harder to adhere to certain self imposed limitations, the most important of which is that there shall be no repetition of artists. Anyway, one of my readers (my only reader?) asked me if I’d ever featured the Youngbloods, to which I responded that it’s hard to believe I hadn’t, but I really can’t recall doing so. He suggested this song, from their Elephant Mountain album. I never had that album. I had the one that everyone had, which included Get Together, a veritable anthem. Here they are on the David Frost show, and yes, this is a live performance and I’ve actually got someone in mind for next week, so maybe this feature will get a second life. Here’s the Youngbloods doing Ride the Wind.