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Guess I won’t be going

When the idea first surfaced, heaven only knows its origins, for Stephen Colbert to lead a rally in Washington to “Restore Truthiness” I was intrigued. The idea had a certain Abbie Hoffmanesque flair to it. As I saw it, such a rally in favor of a concept that is almost impossible to define seemed like the perfect counterpoint to the Beck rally in favor of (or against, as the case may be) the voices in the heads of Glenn and his followers. Were a rally for Truthiness, led by the faux Glenn Beck, attended by people whose sole purpose was to mock Beck and his minions-were that rally to outdraw Beck, and I think that it could, it would send a message on a number of levels, particularly to the media which has given so much attention to a group of people who are, by and large, sheep being led to the slaughter.

Unfortunately, John Stewart has chosen to ruin a perfectly good idea, by getting himself involved. What would have worked as satire may not work as serious stuff. We now have a too earnest Stewart announcing a “Million Moderate March” a/k/a March to Restore Sanity, to be answered by a Colbert counter-rally to “restore fear”, which itself hits the wrong note-“Restoring Truthiness” was a far better idea. In addition, we have Stewart at his worst, positing a false equivalency between the left and the right:

The purpose, he said, is to present an alternative to what he called a minority of 15 percent or 20 percent of the Americans who have dominated the national political discussion with extreme rhetoric. Mr. Stewart tarred both parties with that charge, citing the attacks on the right accusing President Obama of being everything from a socialist to un-American and on the left accusing former President George W. Bush of being a war criminal.

He made the same claim about both extremes dominating the national discourse on his show. The current situation would be improved if that were true, but it’s not, and producing a few pictures of left wingers carrying signs doesn’t make it true. There are whackos on the left, that can’t be denied. But they are not given aid and comfort by the Democratic Party, which is far too busy distancing itself from its normal rank and file to even think about embracing a few extremists. Even when the left turns out hundreds of thousands of perfectly normal people to protest a (yes, it was) criminal war, we are ignored. We dominate nothing, and Stewart has to know that. The Republican Party, on the other hand, has encouraged and embraced the wild eyed rhetoric that gets its followers aroused. The media has given out of proportion coverage to even sparsely attended tea party gatherings, while pretty much ignoring the people who are funding this “movement” from the shadows. There is no right winger so extreme that he or she will not be given a respectful hearing by our punditocracy. Right wing ideas that have been proven wrong over and over ( e.g. tax cuts cure all social ills) are treated with respect. Right wing lies (e.g., social security on the verge of financial collapse) are passed on as gospel.

There’s nothing new about any of this. The effort to delegitimize Obama, for example, is just a racially charged re-enactment of what they did to Clinton.

Sometimes it gets a bit out of hand, as Lisa Murkowski and Karl Rove have just learned in different ways, but the Republicans have not distanced themselves from the extreme, they have embraced it at every opportunity. They consider Murkowski and Bennett to be victims of friendly fire, regrettable, but expendable, casualties.

Speaking of delegitimizing presidents, was there any concerted movement on the visible left to delegitimize Bush? Recall, that he was illegitimate, given that his cronies on the Supreme Court stole the election for him. Few people were even aware that there was a sizable demonstration at his inauguration protesting his selection, because the media chose to ignore it. In the mainstream, including the entire Beltway Democratic party, it was considered impolite to mention that he had lost the election. Far easier to make Al Gore into a clown, which is what they proceeded to do.

Did any Democrat of national stature give aid and comfort to the few conspiracy theorists who felt that Bush knew in advance about 9-11? This is an example of left sided craziness that Stewart mentioned. Compare the number of prominent Democrats (zero, equal to the number of minutes the media spent talking about it) that took up that cause to the dozens of Republicans holding high office who have thrown raw meat to the birthers, with Newt Gingrich being but the latest example. Any Democrat that pandered to a paranoid fringe would pretty quickly be drummed out of the party, and if not, he or she would certainly not be given respectful hearings on television networks, even networks with names that don’t begin with “F”. Our very few paranoids are not in the discourse, their quite numerous paranoids have their own television shows and are quite definitely part of the discourse. Do any Democrats dance to the allegedly far left, unhinged Rachel Maddow (yes, I know she’s nothing if not reasonable, but we must be even handed, mustn’t we) the way the Republicans march to the beat of Limbaugh’s drum?

There is simply nothing equivalent on the left to what the right has been doing, and it is intellectually dishonest for Stewart to say that there is.

Over the course of the last 40 years the “left”, to the extent it can be called that, has busied itself trying to preserve the institutions created by the New Deal, not to mention taking on the burden of preserving our constitutional rights against a hostile judiciary, as opposed to a right wing that insists on adherence to the Constitution at all times, except when it happens to advantage blacks, liberals, Muslims, or any other group not composed of angry white people and their corporate puppeteers. Much of what we are advocating was considered mainstream in the pre-Reagan era. In any rational society, the left in this country would be considered “conservative”, since we fit the dictionary definition of that term, but this is not a rational society, and it is the right that has got us there. There are, in fact, no more “conservatives” in our national life, they have been replaced by reactionaries.

One more thing. Lets not forget that, while Obama is definitely not Hitler-like (if he were, the people saying so would be in concentration camps), Bush was a war criminal, by his own admission. Cheney was too, by his own admission. The lack of a conviction doesn’t change that fact. There is such a thing as truth, and speaking the truth, however uncomfortable that truth may be, should not be considered a sign of extremism.

So, unfortunately, I guess I won’t be going to DC, though when I first heard the idea for the Restore Truthiness rally, I started making plans. Despite all of the above, I might still have considered going, because after all is said and done, since he’s doing it, it’s important that a lot of people go, if for no other reason than to deprive Glenn Beck of bragging rights. I won’t be going because I’ll be doing what Stewart will be preventing all those demonstrators from doing: working on the weekend before the election to restore sanity to our national discourse by doing what I can to prevent a right wing takeover.


Try and Watch

I must apologize for failing to put this on my normal Friday Night Music Video. The Peckinpaugh campaign actually put out a press release and encouraged people to watch it, but quickly took it down after people actually did. My wife watched it just before they took it down, and, among others perhaps, alerted CTBlogger, who quickly put things to rights.

I remember when I was a kid I often had trouble watching I Love Lucy, because she got herself into such embarrassing situations it would make me squirm with discomfort. This video brings back that feeling. I confess I haven’t been able to bring myself to watch the whole thing. I’ve never liked Simmons, but he is a fellow human being, and it’s hard to watch him make a total ass of himself, even though he does appear to enjoy doing it. See if you can sit through it without squirming:


Friday Night Music

A few weeks ago, on my Labor Day Special, I posted an audio of Paul Robeson, but reserved the right to revisit him, since there was no video with the song I posted. So, that’s what I’m doing tonight.

According to the liner notes of my set of Show Boat CDs (the John McGlinn reconstruction):

Of all places, Show Boat was born in a hotel room in New London, Connecticut on Wednesday, August 20, 1924, around midnight. Edna Ferber had just witnessed the dismally unsuccessful pre-Broadway debut of her new play, Old Man Minick, in New London’s ancient Lyceum Theatre.

So, there’s a local connection to this great American musical. Robeson was not the first to sing Old Man River, but it appears that he made the song his own. This version is, unfortunately, marred by a voice over pointing out the obvious:

What a voice the man had.


Am I Wrong Yet?

A few months ago I wrote the following about how the Democrats would blow the great tax cut debate:

Here is what will happen. The Blue Dog Democrats, among whom are many recruited by Rahm Emanuel, will undermine the narrative in the House, and join a unanimous Republican caucus to extend the tax breaks, assuming Nancy Pelosi doesn’t pull an embarrassing about face and pull it from the floor. But she won’t do that, because the Republicans, without a hint of embarrassment, aided and abetted by the media that has never had a problem with Republican obstruction, will demand an up or down vote, because that’s the democratic way.

After the tax cut passes the House, it must pass the Senate, where, surely, one would think, even if it gets to the floor, there would at least be 41 Democrats with spine enough to filibuster it. But no, the Republicans, without a hint of embarrassment, aided and abetted by the media that has never had a problem with Republican obstruction, will demand an up or down vote, because that’s the democratic way.

The Democrats will cave, and the Republicans will get their tax break for the rich. Perhaps Obama will veto it, but don’t bet on it. Remember, this is the Bush tax cut for the rich, which will expire if Congress does nothing, which is precisely what Congress will not do. The Democrats will allow themselves to be manipulated into making this massive transfer from the middle class to the rich permanent.

Fondly did I hope, fervently did I pray, that I would be proven wrong, but so far, no such luck. I’m probably wrong on some of the process specifics, but on the larger picture, unfortunately, I’m spot on so far.

Republicans are honing their unified message that will, no doubt, unopposed as it will be, persuade a confused nation of the necessity of a plan that is now politically unpopular and will forever be economically disastrous.

Meanwhile, Democrats such as Connecticut’s own Jim Himes are trampling all over what should be a winning narrative for Democrats . Himes, like many of his Democratic compadres, is simply lying when he asserts that a broad swath of economists feel the tax cuts for the rich should be continued. Thus does he add insult to the folks who put him there while he injures just about everybody. But, of course, he’s a dedicated progressive next to the Blue Dogs who are trying to one up the Republicans by giving the rich tax breaks even the Republicans aren’t requesting.

The only question that remains: Will Obama stick to his recently announced position (so far he is, but we’ve heard that before), or “compromise” by giving the Republicans everything they want?

Stay tuned, but I predict it won’t be pretty.


An American Hero Dude

It’s folks like this who make you think there might still be hope:

Jacob Isom—the rattail-coiffed hero who swiped a Koran from right-wing fanatics and ran—has a dream. “I want to be inHigh Times,” he told me by telephone. Then he showed me a t-shirt screenprinted with his face.

After swiping Christian demagogue David Grisham’s kerosene-soaked Koran from a public park in Amarillo, Texas, Jacob gave an interview to a local news crew. Footlong rattail flying in the wind, he announced, “I was like, ‘Dude, you have no Koran!”

If High Times hasn’t picked him up yet, they’re way behind the curve, because he’s everywhere else. While we’re at it, lets lift a glass (or, in Jacob’s case, light a joint) to the people of Amarillo, Texas who swiftly organized a peaceful demonstration to show their disgust at the local man of god that was trying to stir up hate:

As an added bonus, here’s the Autotune version:

You can get your Jacob Isom T-Shirts here.


The Pope visits England

Ooh, that must hurt. Benedict failed to sell out in Glasgow. Apparently, the Brits, who are, if anything worse than us politically, are far more enlightened when it comes to religion. Of course it doesn’t help when this sort of thing happens:

The start of the trip risked being overshadowed by remarks by one of the pope’s advisers, German Cardinal Walter Kasper, who said compared arriving in multicultural London to landing “in a Third World country.” He also told a German magazine that an “aggressive atheism” was spreading in Britain.

The British media, expressing outrage, cited the remarks as the latest example of a gaffe-prone papacy. Kasper’s office later said he would not be coming due to illness.

Cardinal Cormac Murphy O’Connor, former head of the Catholic Church in England, tried to limit the damage from those comments.

“I’m not really sure why Cardinal Kasper said what he said, he is a good man and a good friend. Perhaps he was having a bad day,” he said.

Yes, perhaps he was having a bad day. I’m not really sure who should be more offended, the British, or the people of the third world. One thing’s for sure, a cardinal should stay away from racially tinged statements, and that goes quadruple for a German cardinal, especially one working for a German pope with a questionable history, Nazi wise.

The problem for the Catholic Church is that its approach to the outside world hasn’t changed much since the 15th century. It never enters the heads of these people that they are answerable to anyone other than their pope, and they all agree that he is answerable to nobody. Instead of adapting to a changing world, the church has, with the notable exception of a few papal terms (we miss you, John XXIII) spent its time hunkering down. Instead of trying to lead by moral example, it merely legislated, at least for itself, what was no longer recognized by a once submissive Europe: its own infallibility.

It is rapidly becoming an irrelevant anachronism, reduced to obsessing about the normal sex lives of others while tolerating deviant sexual practices within its own ranks. Yet it still can’t quite understand why people are beginning to despite it.

So folks like the Cardinal can’t really help themselves. They don’t understand the world, and don’t care to do so. They say what they think because they are convinced they are right and they don’t really care what anyone else thinks. When the shit hits the fan, like it did for the German cardinal, they may backtrack for show (by, for example, as in this case, lying about being sick), but they remain mystified about why anyone could question them. It’s unlikely anything will change soon, particularly under this pope.


It’s getting warm out there

If I read this right, it appears we have just passed through the warmest summer in a very long time. The article is very wonky, but the thrust of it appears to be that July was extremely hot, and so were May and June. Funny, how Fox always seems to talk about global warming on those very few extra cold days we have in the winter, but has nothing to say when we endure weeks of extra hot weather. I know you can’t draw any definitive conclusions from even one super warm summer, but it’s a lot more significant than one cold day.

It now appears that we, as a nation, have officially decided to adopt the “pretend it’s not there” solution to global warming. It’s beginning to look like the chickens will be coming home to roost a lot sooner than anyone thought.


Nothing succeeds like failure

From this morning Times:

For 16 years, Marshall A. Cohen served as a director of the American International Group, stepping down just months before the company’s near-collapse in 2008. Several months later, Mr. Cohen was again in demand, joining the board of Gleacher & Company, a New York investment bank.

Gleacher expanded its board last year to include not only Mr. Cohen but Henry S. Bienen, who served as a director of Bear Stearns from 2004 until its rescue by JPMorgan Chase in March 2008.

On the second anniversary of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, appointments like those of Mr. Cohen and Mr. Bienen highlight how the directors of the companies at the center of the financial crisis — A.I.G., Bear Stearns and Lehman itself — still play an active role in the governance of corporate America.

“In too many cases, the radioactivity of a board member of a collapsed company has a half life measured in milliseconds,” said John Gillespie, a longtime Wall Street investment banker and the co-author of “Money for Nothing” (Free Press), a recent book on corporate boards.

It is a fact of life that among our betters, failure is the only sure path to success. It’s one of the few things on which both political parties seem to agree. Obama turned to the Democrats most responsible for screwing up the economy to fix it. Apparently, like the directors who claim that they have learned from previous failures, we were supposed to assume that Geithner and Sommers have learned from theirs. Truth is, they never do.

Can we forget the Republicans who never learn from the failure of the tax cutting road to peace and prosperity (okay, this is a special case, since they don’t really believe their own guff), the pundits who cheered us into Iraq, the “deficit hawks” of both parties who will spend on war to our last penny, but can never see their way clear to spending money to help real Americans, or the economists who couldn’t see the housing bubble as it grew to mammoth proportions?

All of these folks have one thing in common. They have thrived as a result of their failures. Meanwhile, those who were right on these various subjects are still dismissed as kooks.


Defending Social Security Disability

My friend Matt Berger passed on a link to an article at Slate by James Ledbetter called America’s Hidden Welfare Program, about the Social Security Disability Program. The program, according to Ledbetter, is a welfare program that encourages people not to work.

Now, let us stipulate that I have a financial stake in this, as I represent these lazy people who prefer to live on, as Ledbetter points out, an average of $12,000.00 a year rather than work at one of the jobs that are out there in such numbers.

Ledbetter is not totally callous:

Of course, many SSDI recipients are truly incapacitated. Others, however, are certainly employable in some fashion. All of them have had jobs at some point. And since the American workplace is demonstrably not more dangerous to life and limb than it was 30 or 40 years ago, it’s not immediately obvious why a large group of somewhat- or once-impaired people has more trouble getting and keeping jobs than their counterparts did in the recent past.

Need I point out that the third sentence is a non sequitur? People get disability because they can’t work anymore, either at their own job or at any other job for which they are reasonably qualified by dint of their age, education and experience. By definition, since you have to buy into the system to qualify, all people receiving disability once worked. That fact proves nothing.

Let’s stipulate also that applications for disability do go up when times are bad, meaning that some people apply for disability both because they actually have a disabling medical condition and because they can’t find work. And here we get to another point that should be obvious: it is, in fact, “immediately obvious” why a large group of people has more trouble getting and keeping jobs than their counterparts in the recent past. This country, a former economic and job creating powerhouse, has been shipping jobs overseas as fast as it can. After a while, those numbers add up. The first to feel the pinch are the marginal types, which we are creating in record numbers, given our failing economy, our failing educational system, and our failed health care system.

Ledbetter actually asserts that were these people denied disability we would undergo an economic resurgence because “[t]hese millions of workers extricated from payrolls represent untold lost billions in tax revenues and all manner of desperately needed economic activity (consumption, home purchases, etc.).”

That’s right, if not for these people who choose to live in a blissful state of poverty rather than pay taxes, earn money, buy houses, own cars, etc., the economy would be supercharged, because Ledbetter assumes that if they were not getting disability they would be working, despite the fact that about 10% of the people who consider themselves capable of working can’t find jobs.

Lets remember that the disability program is funded by the same Social Security Trust Fund that pays for regular benefits. It is an insurance program and it pays for itself. The people who apply for benefits have paid in to the system like everyone else. It is not a welfare program, at least by any definition of “welfare” that is consistent with the pejorative way in which Ledbetter is using it.

In these times, the Social Security Disability Program, like unemployment benefits, is the ultimate stimulus program. Every dime these people get is spent, meaning every dime represents economic activity. The problem lies not so much in where the money goes, but from where it comes. Because the payroll tax limit is so low, most of the money flowing into the trust fund is coming from lower middle to middle class people. If we taxed the rich a bit more, the stimulative effect would be even greater.

I would be the last person to say that there are no undeserving people on SSDI. There are. There are also people who have been denied benefits, even though they deserve them. That’s the nature of any imperfect adjudicatory system.

I don’t have the time to check all of Ledbetter’s assertions, but many are suspect, or misleading. The fact, for instance, that enrollment in the first year of the program was a tiny fraction of the number of people now enrolled is a good example. Most people are turned down in the early stages. It takes, on average, a good two years to even get approved. And of course in the first year of such a program there would be fewer enrollees than later, as enrollees accumulate and as cases are processed. Ledbetters’ argument is equivalent to arguing that Social Security is out of control because there are more people getting social security checks now than there were in 1940. Similarly, his assertion that Congress has been making it easier to get disability is not borne out by recent history, as far as I’m aware. Congress denied benefits to alcoholics in 1996. That cut a lot of people off the rolls. I’m not aware of any similar action that Congress took to broaden eligibility.

It doesn’t shock me, as it does Ledbetter, that 4% of the adults in this country are disabled, or that it’s costing us $200 billion a year to keep them out of complete destitution. That’s less than it cost for our unnecessary wars, and every dime is spent here. Nor do I believe, as Ledbetter apparently does, that only people who are about to die should be considered disabled. It certainly is strange that our pundit class is so capable of finding a crisis in a fully funded program that is paid for primarily by the working people it largely benefits, but finds it so hard to see a problem with government policies that have systematically shifted wealth in this country from those same working people to the top 1%.

Refinancing and recovery

The Boston Globe’s front page article (Refinancing boom, but little lift for economy) reports on something about which I’ve heard from our real estate attorneys: that refinancings are going strong but home sales are not. The headline puts a negative spin on the refinancing phenomenon, but it might as accurately have noted that despite a large number of refinancings, we are not reinflating the real estate bubble. The only way refinancing can lead to a “lift” for the economy, is if people borrow off of their homes and spend the money on things that, generally speaking, they don’t need. Since most people don’t have much, if any, equity in their homes these days, any recovery led by refinancing would almost by definition require reinflating the bubble that got us where we are at present. Thankfully, at least for the moment, banks have become reluctant to lend money based purely on the expectation that home prices will increase at a rate exceeding both the increase in rents and the increase (if any) in median income.

Home prices nationwide still have a way to go down before they start going up, and as Dean Baker pointed out in the linked article, we have no reason to believe that consumers can spend us out of this depression, either with their own money or with money borrowed off of their homes. We need spending by the government in massive amounts. We need to get money into the hands of people that will spend it. We will, of course, not do that, because we have one party too spineless to try to act, and another that sees non-action as a way to political success. We also have a “serious” pundit class that, against all the evidence, sees deficits as the major problem facing the country. It is, of course, easier to think that way if you personally have a job paying you many hundreds of thousands of dollars a year.

The odd thing is that the real estate bubble was a sort of twisted form of deficit spending, cheered on by the very pundit class that is now afraid of deficits that would cause far less harm. It was that real estate fueled deficit spending that gave us the illusion of prosperity. It was an illusion because the borrowed money was never going to be repaid, something that should have been, and probably was, obvious to the bankers and Wall Street hucksters that ran the scam. Collapse was inevitable.

In any case, there’s no reason to bemoan the fact that mortgage refinancing is not leading us toward a recovery, because any such recovery would merely lead us into yet another, and probably bigger, bust.