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Local Plug

If you look at the roll of Connecticut Blogs on the right, you may notice a new entry. The Town of Groton has a Groton Town Hall Centennial Blog. Yes, that’s right, our town hall is 100 years old this year. As I understand it, the Town Hall was donated to the town by Morton Plant, a very rich fellow who once resided in these parts. We probably don’t want to know how he made all that money, but at least in those days the malefactors of great wealth had a penchant for giving some of it back, even if their motives may have been somewhat mixed.

Friday Night Music-The Kinks

So far as I can see, I haven’t put up the Kinks before, which is par for the course. For some reason, this band always seems to get short shrift, though by rights they should be ranked up there with the Beatles and the Stones. Couldn’t decide, so a double feature tonight:

Early Kinks, You really got me:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvyDWGF290M[/youtube]

And how can we ignore Lola, from slightly later in time, but light years away culturally:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IMsnqQHOwFg[/youtube]

Mere Gross Incompetence is not news

While we are all concentrating on the coming Depression, an echo of times passed goes virtually unnoticed. While FEMA’s response to Ike is not the total disaster that was its response to Katrina, it has hardly reached genuine “heckuva job” levels. FEMA has avoided failure in some areas by essentially outsourcing its responsibilities to the states, such as by refusing to provide critically needed ice ; it has failed to organize distribution centers, and has been roundly criticized for other aspects of its responses, and it has kept truckers parked in their trucks for days, waiting to deliver supplies. Were this any other Administration the barely competent response to the hurricane would be news, but expectations are now so low that anything short of a complete disaster barely registers.

Protecting retirement

Two videos for your edification. One in which Chris Matthews takes Congressman Eric Kantor (R) to the woodshed, and one in which ABC exposes McCain’s hypocrisy on economic issues.

I’m posting them just for fun, but also to point out that in both, these Republicans argue about the fact that they are trying to save people’s retirement. Yet McCain has espoused exactly the type of Social Security Privatization that Bush was pushing. I can’t speak to Kantor’s position on that, but since Republicans are pretty robotic on this issue, it’s probably fair to say that he would support it if he could get away with it.

If we had such a system the events of recent days would not only have destroyed value in the average 401K, which at the moment is supplemental to Social Security, it would have destroyed value in the typical “social security” account as well. In fact, the typical account, if we assume it performed as well as the market as a whole, would have increased in value not at all between the day Bush entered office and today. Well, take that back. Accounting for inflation, the 21 point rise in the past 8 years probably represents a loss. (See here and here).

Herewith the videos. Enjoy Matthews skewering Kantor:
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ympnzk9_b8M[/youtube]

And ABC skewering McCain:
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ympnzk9_b8M[/youtube]

The meltdown continues

When I arrived home today I grabbed the front section of the New York Times, one of several that had been delivered while we were gone. I had already read part of the Times Reader edition this morning, so I quickly realized I was reading yesterday’s paper, and I was struck by how quickly the financial meltdown is proceeding, and how unpredictable it has become.

First, as an aside however, I must say I got a kick out of the headline in the Times’ Paper Edition, which I didn’t see on-line yesterday: Wall Street in Worst Loss since ’01 Despite Reassurances by Bush. I suppose it’s considered good form to credit the titular President with some sort of influence, but does anyone really think that people on Wall Street ever credited Bush with any actual knowledge about economic issues? Willingness to serve their interests, yes. Expertise or even good amateur instincts, no. In any event, who are you going to believe, your eyes, or a village idiot who says this:

Appearing briefly in the morning before reporters in the Rose Garden, Mr. Bush characterized the recent events as short-term market adjustments that would have a limited effect on an otherwise sound economy.

“I know Americans are concerned about the adjustments that are taking place in our financial markets,” Mr. Bush said at a ceremony to welcome the president of Ghana.

He added: “In the short run, adjustments in the financial markets can be painful — both for the people concerned about their investments, and for the employees of the affected firms. In the long run, I’m confident that our capital markets are flexible and resilient, and can deal with these adjustments.”

As John Maynard Keynes said, “In the long run, we’re all dead.” And many of us may indeed be dead before the repercussions of eight years of madness have played themselves out. In any event, it’s not hard to see why the market, not to mention the treasury secretary, took little comfort from the presidential bromides.

But, to go on to my main point. While perusing Tuesday’s Times I read Joe Nocera’s article, On Wall Street as on Main Street, a Problem of Denial. The article is excellent, and Nocera is a good writer, but the situation is so chaotic that he can’t be blamed for getting a big one wrong. He stated that the government had decided, see Lehman situation, that it was no longer willing to bail out financial institutions. By this morning, of course, that statement was inoperative, since the government did, in fact, ride to the rescue of A.I.G. Washington Mutual will be the next big player to collapse, and who knows if we taxpayers are going to be paying for its mistakes as well.

We are headed toward a financial meltdown of a sort unprecedented in my lifetime, a fitting good-bye present from the worst president in American history, a man who has a pattern of leaving monumental messes behind him for other people to clean up. He ruined several companies in Texas and now has ruined the entire United States of America. One question remains. Is Bush our latter day Herbert Hoover, or does he play the role of Calvin Coolidge, to McCain’s Hoover?

Phil Gramm, visionary creator of a coming depression.

As I pointed out recently, I first wrote about “credit default swaps” in February, after becoming convinced that, though I don’t completely understand them (and maybe nobody does), that they are a bad thing indeed. In the post to which I’ve linked I noted that AIG, the big financial player that is probably going to collapse next, is in trouble because of credit default swaps. I find today that these swaps both contributed to Lehman’s collapse and will be a prime cause of market fallout resulting from Lehman’s collapse.

One might be interested therefore, in finding the person responsible for these instruments and doing one of two things with him: 1) Draw and quarter him; or 2) Make him the next treasury secretary. This being the United States, which do you think is the most likely?

And what role does [Phil] Gramm have in the current banking crisis? As David Corn reports today, when Gramm was the Republican chairman of the Senate banking committee, he was an anti-regulatory crusader whose actions blazed the trail for the sub-prime meltdown:

[E]ight years ago, Gramm, then a Republican senator chairing the Senate banking committee, slipped a 262-page bill into a gargantuan, must-pass spending measure. Gramm’s legislation, written with the help of financial industry lobbyists, essentially removed newfangled financial products called swaps from any regulation. Credit default swaps are basically insurance policies that cover the losses on investments, and they have been at the heart of the subprime meltdown because they have enabled large financial institutions to turn risky loans into risky securities that could be packaged and sold to other institutions.

As Bloomberg reports this morning, the unregulated market for swaps is at the heart of the Lehman failure.

It is widely expected that Gramm will be McCain’s treasury secretary. This is of a piece with the way in which things work in Washington. You are not a serious thinker about Iraq unless you had a major role in creating and supporting the Iraq disaster. Only those who have been consistently wrong are believed to have sufficient expertise to solve that crisis. It stand to reason, then, that the person who created the conditions that led to an economic disaster should be in charge of fixing that disaster. As always, of course, like with his Iraqi-expert compatriots, he will admit to no prior error and will his prescription for recovery will be more of the same. Paul Krugman says Gramm is just the man to lead us into a depression, but what does he know? A man whose been consistently right has no credibility in this country.

UPDATE: Apparently AIG’s collapse is imminent.

Dueling Philosophies

Two Storefronts, Portsmouth, New Hampshire:

All very confusing

Iraq is our ally, at least I believe it is.

Israel is our ally. In fact, according to Sarah Palin, we should never ever second guess anything it chooses to do.

So why has the Iraqi Parliament just revoked legislative immunity for a member of that Parliament who had the temerity to visit Israel, and why is the State of Israel “described as an enemy of the State of Iraq in Iraqi law” and why is merely visiting Israel a felony in Iraq?

Things have come to a rather sorry pass when we are spending our blood and treasure to prop up a government that is a sworn enemy of one of our closest allies. Our foreign policy is incoherent, but what else is new.

Possible Hiatus

My wife and I are going to Maine tomorrow, and will return Wednesday. I don’t know if we’ll have internet access, so it’s possible there will be no further posts until then.

Will McCain’s heart keep beating?

Yet another Robert Greenwald film. I make no apologies for posting all of these, because 1) he invites everyone to do so, and 2) it’s important that this stuff get out. In this day and age, people absorb information through video better than through the written word. I won’t get into whether this is good or bad (okay, it’s bad, but it’s a fact of life).

This is an issue that has acquired additional relevance, because we now know that if McCain is elected, his successor will be the most uniquely unqualified person to ever stand in the line of succession. She is an unprecedented combination of ignorance, incompetence, corruption, bigotry and cronyism. She makes George Bush look like a Renaissance Man.

McCain managed, with the help of a compliant press still largely enamoured of his “straight talkin’ maverick” image, to finesse the issue of his health last spring when he “released” 1100 pages of medical records to selected members of the press corp who were not allowed cell phones, the internet, copiers, or computers to assist them. It was a classic case of Republican obfuscation. This is an issue that should be revisited. Who knows, now that the press seems to be emerging from the state of denial into anger at the way their affection has been cast aside, it will look at this issue anew. The point made in the video is absolutely true: the American people have a right to know if the man who is asking for a four year job is reasonably likely to die or become disabled in the middle of his term.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lvesa49zSIM[/youtube]