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A few echoes and a modest proposal

The bad thing about being an evening blogger, particularly when things are moving fast, is that all the good observations are made before you get a chance to get in front of the keyboard.

This is doubly so in the case of the bailout, because of the looking-glass nature of what’s going on out there. So, while it has been said already, let me make an observation that occurred to me when I heard on NPR that Paulson doesn’t want the plan to limit executive compensation because that might discourage some firms from allowing themselves to be bailed out: If they don’t want to jeopardize their bonuses, then they don’t need our money.

Or here’s another, also made elsewhere. Paulson actually had the nerve to say that he didn’t include an oversight provision in his bill because it would have been presumptuous of him to suggest an oversight mechanism. No, actually here’s presumption:

Section 8. Review: Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.

And, via Suburban Guerilla, we have David Cay Johnston’s observation that the basic premise of the bailout-that we are staring at Armageddon, does not necessarily reflect reality. It’s a little hard to believe that any American Administration would orchestrate the world’s biggest scam as it walked out the door, but this is the Bush Administration. It is entirely possible that this is just a scheme to spread more money to the people who already have too much.

Our Emperor is getting more naked by the minute.

By the way, my problem with originality could be easily solved if I could do this full time. Then I’d be firstest with the mostest. All it would take is a massive infusion of cash, and I could quit my day job. I will be glad to pledge in advance that I will not pay myself a massive bonus, should Paulson feel like throwing a tiny amount of that money my way. All I’m asking is for .0001428571428571 % of the bailout funds, a measly 1 million (I think my math is right), mere chaff, and I can make this a full time endeavor and keep the economy going.

Random notes

This is one of those days in which things happen so fast it makes your head spin. I’ll confine myself to passing on some random observations.

First, a point that seems obvious, upon reflection. Dean Baker points out that there must definitely be something wrong with a bailout proposal that has corporations clamoring to be bailed:

If the bailout were properly structured, firms would not be lining up to get in. It should be a last resort that involves selling most of the firm to the government, as happened with AIG. If banks are lining up to get in, then the people who designed the bailout should be chased out of town.

Our senior senator, the good one, is showing Democrats the way to fight back. He’s proposed a bailout plan that has Krugman’s imprimatur, and appears to address most of the questions that I’ve seen raised about the Paulson giveaway. There are reports that Paulson and Bush are giving way, but they are preliminary as far as I can see. It’s hard to believe Bush won’t revert to form, but the Democrats can and must win on this one. Among other things, if they cave they will make Obama look weak, since they will essentially be abandoning his plan. So far as I can see, McCain is essentially sheltering in Obama’s shade; he isn’t really proposing anything, but he’s making noises that he can hope to turn to his advantage if the Democrats beat Bush back. He’ll be leading from behind, so to speak. By the way, if the Dems do hold firm, they’ll prove my Saturday morning prediction at least partlywrong, for which I will bless them. I did half predict that the Dems would cave, it was, shall we say, implicit in my argument.

Speaking of Bush, he finally has indeed brought us all together. ” A new American Research Group poll shows that “[n]o Americans say that the national economy is getting better”. Who says you can fool some of the people all of the time? I don’t think you could get 100% of the people in this country to agree that up isn’t down. Bush’s approval is down to 19%, by the way.

It’s easy to see why Paulson doesn’t want to touch executive compensation. These guys have been practically starving:

ABC News reports: In 2007, Wall Street’s five biggest firms — Bear Stearns, Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, and Morgan Stanley — paid a record $39 billion in bonuses to themselves. That’s $10 billion more than the $29 billion loan taxpayers are making to J.P. Morgan to save Bear Stearns.

And they deserved every penny, since they had a tough year, inasmuch as they “collectively lost about $74 billion” for their stockholders that year. It’s hard work losing that much money, but really, these guys have had it tough. Shouldn’t their bonuses have been at least equal to what they managed to lose?

On another front, we now learn that Sarah Palin’s proximity to Alaska gives her, according to the McCain campaign, “metaphorical” foreign policy experience. I wonder if having a rich fantasy life also qualifies one to be president, providing of course you have political fantasies. How about dreams?

That’s all I’ve got. Tomorrow I’ll be live blogging from Groton Democratic Headquarters. I will be pecking away while my wife and other conscientious Democrats help assure an Obama/Courtney victory in these parts. They also serve who only sit and blog.

2.5 Billion in bonuses to Lehman Brothers fat cats

You truly couldn’t make this stuff up. (Via Americablog, via Naked Capitalism, via the UK Times Online:

STAFF at Lehman’s New York office who helped to cause the world’s biggest corporate bankruptcy are to share in a $2.5 billion bonanza.

The bonus, which has been described by London staff as a “scandal” has been pledged by Barclays Capital, the British-based bank that last week acquired Lehman’s American operation and took on 10,000 staff.

The money has been “ring fenced”, which I assume means it has been somehow legally exempted from the reach of creditors. Apparently Price Waterhouse is not happy about this little bit of high finance, since it advanced over 4 billion to Lehman just hours before it failed, and would like to know why Barclay’s will be paying big bonuses instead of repaying creditors.

This is a taste of what we will be reading in the months to come. As we plunk taxpayer money down to bail out these geniuses, they will be paying themselves big bonuses, and folks like Paulson will be telling us that they are absolutely necessary if our free market system is to function.

Courtney Fund Raiser

A little diversion as we contemplate the prospect of Congress giving Henry Paulson, a creature of Wall Street, unfettered power to help out his Wall Street buddies. Our own Congressman, who it would be nice to hope would resist the pressure to back this Christmas present to the greedy, is having a fundraiser here in our area a week from today, hosted by Scott Bates, state committee person for this district.

I have attached a copy of the flier below. The basics are as follows:

Time: 2:00 to 4:00 PM
Date: Sunday, September 28th.
Place: 118 Water Street, Stonington, CT
Suggested Donation: $250.00 for real men, $100.00 for the weak of heart or purse (and aren’t we all these days).

My wife and I hope to make it, but we’ll have an excuse to leave early, so that we can high tail it up to Northampton to see Randy Newman.

Anyway, you can download the flier by clicking on the link below.

Courtney Fund Raiser Flier

Doomed to repeat

The full quote is “Those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it”. That aphorism should be much on the mind of folks like Chris Dodd. Here is the history. The Bush Administration screws something up big time or is caught breaking the law. Its response is to ask Congress to give it more power (and in the case of the crimes, immunize its prior acts). It is always absolutely necessary that Congress act immediately, preferably before actually reading whatever it is that Bush wants passed. Any attempts to change or even examine the Bush proposal becomes a grave threat to national security. The answer to every crisis is to give Bush what he wants, and to get out of the way while the people who caused the problem, and who are therefore by definition the only ones who can fix it, exercise yet more power and, in the end, cause yet more problems.

While I don’t doubt that something needs to be done about the current fiscal crisis, the rush to legislate a solution appears to be partaking of all the classic signs of the Bush squeeze. Dodd appears to be wary, but don’t be surprised if he gets rolled when the Bushies declare that any attempt to help real people will cause a delay that will bring on an economic Armageddon. Don’t be surprised if at the same time that claim is being made, Bush contradicts its essence by threatening to veto any measure that helps homeowners. They will want to keep this pure-a bailout by the American taxpayers for the rich and only for the rich. Remember too, these folks are all politics, all the time, and they won’t want to give the Democrats the ability to show what they can do for the middle class. So we’ll be hearing soon that quick, unthinking acquiescence is necessary in order to avoid certain doom.

UPDATE: Step One is in place. Bush requesting unfettered authority.

UPDATE 2: The plan sucks and does indeed amount to a gift to the banks. What else is new? Prediction: This won’t stop the Democrats from falling in line.

UPDATE #3: viz, “they will want to keep this pure-a bailout by the American taxpayers for the rich and only for the rich”, Paulson says that reining in executive compensation is a poison pill. Apparently he feels these folks have earned million dollar payouts for driving the country into financial chaos. See also.

UPDATE #4: viz, “So we’ll be hearing soon that quick, unthinking acquiescence is necessary in order to avoid certain doom”, see GOP warns Dems not to add extras to bailout bill. This is not the last we’ll hear of this. The Administration has yet to weigh in on this score, though their task may be complicated by McCain’s reluctance to sign off on what will be perceived as a massive giveaway until after the election.

Compare and Contrast, take 2

From the Jed Report.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pmfeesYmx1Y[/youtube]

Beat that horse!

Yet another study debunking the idea that the “surge” was the main cause of the reduction in violence in Iraq. The reason, in a nutshell, is that the “ethnic cleansing” (that’s euphemism for genocide) has done it’s work, and there’s not that many people left to kill.

Unfortunately, this explanation for the decreased violence, as obvious as it is, is far too complicated for our national discourse. It requires thinking, which makes our heads hurt. It’s so much easier to assign a handy cause to a perceived effect, particularly if it reinforces the official line. The study’s authors make the point in a slightly more high toned fashion:

Geographers and social scientists find it increasingly difficult to intervene in debates
about vital matters of public interest, such as the Iraq war, because of the ideological polarization and lack of respect for empirical analysis that have afflicted US politics in recent years. (Emphasis added)

Ain’t it the truth.

Local Plug

If you look at the roll of Connecticut Blogs on the right, you may notice a new entry. The Town of Groton has a Groton Town Hall Centennial Blog. Yes, that’s right, our town hall is 100 years old this year. As I understand it, the Town Hall was donated to the town by Morton Plant, a very rich fellow who once resided in these parts. We probably don’t want to know how he made all that money, but at least in those days the malefactors of great wealth had a penchant for giving some of it back, even if their motives may have been somewhat mixed.

Friday Night Music-The Kinks

So far as I can see, I haven’t put up the Kinks before, which is par for the course. For some reason, this band always seems to get short shrift, though by rights they should be ranked up there with the Beatles and the Stones. Couldn’t decide, so a double feature tonight:

Early Kinks, You really got me:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvyDWGF290M[/youtube]

And how can we ignore Lola, from slightly later in time, but light years away culturally:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IMsnqQHOwFg[/youtube]

Mere Gross Incompetence is not news

While we are all concentrating on the coming Depression, an echo of times passed goes virtually unnoticed. While FEMA’s response to Ike is not the total disaster that was its response to Katrina, it has hardly reached genuine “heckuva job” levels. FEMA has avoided failure in some areas by essentially outsourcing its responsibilities to the states, such as by refusing to provide critically needed ice ; it has failed to organize distribution centers, and has been roundly criticized for other aspects of its responses, and it has kept truckers parked in their trucks for days, waiting to deliver supplies. Were this any other Administration the barely competent response to the hurricane would be news, but expectations are now so low that anything short of a complete disaster barely registers.